Anyone see this lame election analyst of the black vote by a McCain pollster

[gabeana]

In a memo making the case for McCain's viability -- the sort of memo that both sides will always write, regardless of reality -- McCain pollster Bill McInturff argues that the polls are accurately reflecting Obama's overwhelming black support, meaning that there's less wiggle room in the polls for the Democrat:

I am becoming more and more convinced Senator Obama “gets what he gets in the tracking.”

Typically a Republican candidate trails among African Americans on a survey by a margin of something like 78% to 14%. As a firm, we consistently warn our clients that on Election Day, they will underperform their polling margins with African American voters. If their tracking says 78% - 18%, they should expect to only carry 8% of the African American vote, as the Democrat candidate will typically carry more than 90% of the African American vote.
snip//

I am becoming increasingly persuaded it will be very difficult for Senator Obama to perform much above his percentage of the vote in a state. This puts any number of historically red states very much “in play” and MUCH more competitive than is generally believed by the media. But critically, as Obama drops below 50% in other blue states, some of these states may also becoming back in play as well.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/1008/McCain_pollster_Black_vote_locked_in_in_polls.html#comments