(R)asmussen Nevada Poll: Obama 50%, McCain 46%

[Hope And Change]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election

[squirecam]

1. fair

This seems right.

Nevada will be won +/- 3 or 4%. I dont see the 10+ poll out earlier as realistic. Still alot of (R) out here that will cut into Obama's margin.

[hogwyld]

2. Welcome to DU

:hi:

[squirecam]

4. tyvm

Long time lurker. The "fear" campaign warning all of us about potential DU Nov 4th website problems got me to finally register. :)

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

3. McCain cannot win without NV, right?

[AzNick]

5. If he loses 2 out of 3 in PA, OH, FL, he loses

Barack would even win withouth VA.

NV does not carry as many votes as CO, but it would help!

[squirecam]

6. yes

IIRC, under some circumstances, Nevada can guarantee a 269-269 tie.

Realistically, IA + CO + NM + NV + VA = goodnight McCain, even if Obama lost FL, OH and PA.

[squirecam]

7. from MSNBC

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/default.aspx?p=3

After moving the battlegrounds of Colorado and Virginia from Toss-up to Lean Obama, the Democratic presidential nominee now has crossed the 270 Electoral Vote threshold in NBC’s electoral map. One week before the election, Obama leads McCain 286-163, up from his 264-163 advantage a week ago. As we pointed out on Friday, the significance of moving Colorado and Virginia into Obama’s column is this: If Obama wins those two states, plus Nevada, he can still get to 270 -- even if he loses Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

[Smuckies]

8. Thanks for posting. We'll win Nevada for sure.