This week four years ago, Kerry was trading at 44.3 on Intrade.com, Bush 56.

[Drunken Irishman]

Or so says this post back in 2004.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x1171403

Goes to show this race is dramatically different than it was four years ago.

[TheDonkey]

1. Thank you for this bit of history. Is Obama at something like 80 now?

[Drunken Irishman]

2. Obama is trading at 87.8 (88), McCain at 12.3 (12).

[sandnsea]

3. If the polls are right, it's hugely different

If the polls are wrong, it's exactly the same. I hope and pray the polls are right.

[Awsi Dooger]

4. Bush was a small favorite throughout 2004

Both on Intrade and the fixed odds betting sites. Here's a link with some good info and charts, although it was during September 2004. Kerry was apparently the small favorite to win the popular vote during mid summer, although I didn't remember that, but Bush remained the electoral favorite:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5943565/

[Drunken Irishman]

5. Kerry had a decent summer.

The Edwards pick, coupled with the Democratic Convention really bolstered Kerry in the summer of 2004. However, Bush came out of the Republican Convention with a lead he would not relinquish.

It sucked, but I had a feeling all throughout September, October and very early November Kerry wasn't going to pull it out. To compare, Obama has now led for over a month in every single national poll and most of that falls between 5-7 points!