Rasmussen daily tracking graph for 10/27/08 - Obama 51, McCain 46 (O down 1, M up 2)

[DavidDvorkin]

Ugh.










These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion

[Cali_Democrat]

1. You should take a look at Rasmussen's state polls

McCain appears to have gained a little bit nationally, but he has made no real gains in battleground states.

McCain is running out of time.

[DavidDvorkin]

4. I've been watching electoral-vote.com, which remains encouraging.

[sarahdemva]

8. if he gains ground nationally

the state polls dont matter. they will change as well. i think our message needs to be stronger.

[Cali_Democrat]

16. Wrong

Rasmussen released state polls as well a national tracking poll today.

The national poll tightened a bit, but the states of Ohio, Florida and Virginia showed Obama with the same lead or gaining ground.

This can only mean one thing, McCain is gaining in states that are already red so it doesn't even matter.

[sarahdemva]

9. not if he gains 3 points a day

[Cali_Democrat]

17. If he gains 3 points a day, McCain will be ahead by 18+ points on election day

:crazy:

[regnaD kciN]

2. What's really worrysome...

...is how Obama's favorability ratings have nose-dived over the past couple of days, while McCain's have gone modestly up.

[4themind]

3. It's something to keep an eye on but

both Obama and McCain are coming off record highs and lows (for the month), in that favorable disfavorable differential respectively. And As Ramussenn himself notes, Obama has never fell below 50 pts. and McCain has never risen above 46 pts. for over a month. Tomorrows numbers will be interesting as some of Obama's more favorable poll numbers fall of the average, but the key closer will be Obama's 30 min special on Wednesday, this will allow him to take up the narrative and speak directly with the voters, so let's be circumspect but confident and motivated IMO

[DavidDvorkin]

5. The fav-unfav graph looked so good yesterday

I think that's an important one to watch.

[Sodan]

6. Where??

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/favorable.html

[DavidDvorkin]

7. In my Favorable minus Unfavorable graph, posted yesterday

My graph is limited to Rasmussen's numbers. RCP is an average across many polls. Yesterday, my graph looked delightful.

[Sodan]

11. ah okay... just noise I hope (2 up, 3 down ;) /nt

[Mike 03]

10. That's good, isn't it? Obama is over fifty.

What worried me about the Zogby poll is he seemed to drop below fifty and McAss was gaining points.

(EDIT)

It's hard to believe McCain could be gaining in favorability. He has become a shrieking, embarrassing mess.

[sarahdemva]

14. he is mudslinging though and some of it will stick

its great we are running a clean campaign but with the econmy like it is we should be up bu 10. i just dont get it.

[mvd]

12. I think it's just going down to the poll's average

further tightening (like -2 or -3 tomorrow) might mean that Obama needs to hit back more against these socialism charges though.

[Dinger]

13. I Call This The 5% Solution

If the polls are 5% or less, . . . RIPE for theft. I believe this is propaganda.

[DavidDvorkin]

15. It always amazes me when Republican negative attacks work

It undermines one's faith in democracy.

As I recall, Churchill said something like, "All it takes to undermine one's faith in democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter."