New Rasmussen polls OH Obama up 4, MO Obama up 1, CO Obama up 4, VA Obama up 4, FL Obama up 4!

[HughMoran]

Looking good, NC = McCain up 1

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/fox_rasmussen_polling/fox_rasmussen_swing_state_polling_october_26_2008

[writes3000]

1. And if these are 2004 Dem/Repub breakdowns, we're doing even BETTER!

Great news today.

Great, great news.

[HughMoran]

16. They may be based on Ras's "cheap" numbers

They seem to be consistently about 2 points below average polling numbers (but not always).

[Thrill]

2. I don't buy his CO and VA polls

[Schulzz]

3. Florida also Obama 51-47. nt

[HughMoran]

4. Already added it

It's tough getting all those numbers in the subject :D

[Drunken Irishman]

5. So Obama is -6 in VA over a week?

Not sure I buy that.

He was up 10 in their last poll.

[HughMoran]

6. Rasmussen says they were EVEN last week, so OBAMA +4!

It's good!

[Drunken Irishman]

8. Weird. Ras had Obama up ten last week.

So they must do separate polling for FOX.

[HughMoran]

11. Look at their history on the Ras page for FL

They show an average of +3 with 538 having an average of +2, so +4 is a positive swing no matter how you look at it.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. I'm confused. Is the FOX/Ras poll the same as the solo Ras polls?

[writes3000]

10. No, they're different. nt

[PM7nj]

9. This is the FOX/Ras poll... Obama was up 3 in the last one. nt

[Drunken Irishman]

14. Ok, well that's good.

That means when Ras does their other poll, which had Obama up 10, he'll be up 20! :P

[regnaD kciN]

18. Strange that Ras does two completely different FL polls...

...with such striking differences in results. This one has a larger sample size, but I suspect there must be some other methodology differences at work here (different weightings, etc.)?

[SeeHopeWin]

12. May be time to stop looking at the national polls :)

This is pretty good news! Even if we win just one of these we win it ALL!

President Barack Obama!

[Jersey Devil]

13. self deleted

[road2000]

15. I find this odd...

sounds like a setup for the Big Upset:

"The data suggests an ongoing challenge for Exit Polling this year. In every state but one, a majority of Democrats say they’d be very likely to take the time to fill out an Exit Poll questionnaire if asked. In every state but one, the number of Republicans willing to do the same is below 40%."

[HughMoran]

17. You can't blame Dems for being more willing to participate

Hopefully exit pollsters know about these polls about exit polling when they do their calculations.

[road2000]

23. I wasn't clear.

Not blaming Democrats, just wondering if the pollster is preparing for anomalies that can be explained away if the exit polls don't match the tally.

[HughMoran]

19. kick

[HughMoran]

22. .

[RBInMaine]

20. BS ! Obama is up more than 4 in CO !! Try 8 to 10 !!

[HughMoran]

21. Tell Rasmussen they are full of shit

I consider Rasmussen polls to be on the conservative side, so this is the "low" end.