PA TRACKING POLL: Obama 53, McCrypt 40

[jefferson_dem]

Obama ups lead in Pa. as candidates make final push
Total People in Discussion: 0

Posted by Josh Drobnyk at 1:32:04 PM on October 27, 2008 John McCain and Barack Obama return to Pennsylvania today -- each for two-day swings in the state -- with Obama holding his largest lead in the state since Oct. 18, according to the newest Muhlenberg College/Morning Call tracking poll.

Why is McCain trailing? A look at the crosstabs on the poll makes it pretty clear: He's getting crushed among independents and is only getting support from three-quarters of Republicans. He's hitting west, central and eastern Pennsylvania today and tomorrow to try to close these margins, but this data can't have the McCain camp overly optimistic heading into the final week.

From the Muhlenberg College poll...

OVERALL
Obama: 53%
McCain: 40%

DEMOCRAT
Obama: 81%
McCain: 13%

REPUBLICAN
Obama: 18%
McCain: 74%

INDEPENDENT
Obama: 56%
McCain: 32%

MALE
Obama: 51%
McCain: 41%

FEMALE
Obama: 55%
McCain: 39%

CATHOLIC
Obama: 45%
McCain: 46%

PROTESTANT
Obama: 53%
McCain: 38%

WHITE
Obama: 49%
McCain: 43%

NON-WHITE
Obama: 90%
McCain: 8%

http://blogs.mcall.com/penn_ave/2008/10/obama-ups-lead.html

[Tribetime]

1. say goodnight Johnny

[BeyondGeography]

2. Not.fucking.budging.

[Alhena]

3. Paging Ashley Todd

[David__77]

4. All this noise about "close PA" is nonsense.

Obama will win by 5 points at least. And I do think that Murtha will hang on, for what it's worth.

[Shine]

5. This cake is baked. It's over.

I must say, I always chuckle at the "McCrypt" nickname. Too perfect.

[bluestateguy]

6. Obama will make one last visit to PA to finich Mac off once and for all

Pittsburgh and Chester.