Hotline - Obama 48(+1), McCain 43(+1)....GWU: Obama 49(+1), McCain 45(-2)

[MadBadger]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html

[WI_DEM]

1. glad to see GWU starting to get with the program again.

[jefferson_dem]

2. RCP Average 10/16 - 10/22 -- Obama +7.4

Largest Obama lead in the AVG ever, if i'm not mistaken.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

[MadBadger]

4. Not quite, he was above 8 points at one point a week or two ago

[Schulzz]

3. I don't really like both tracking polls. But their trend is ok for now.

Hotline's party IDs are changing too often and Battleground's results bounce all over the place.
Rasmussen and Gallup numbers seem more consistent.

[MadBadger]

7. Rasmussen's numbers very rarely change, which I like...though I distrust some of their polls.

[nickn777]

5. Hotline sample: 41D, 38R

Nice to have a 5 point lead with that sample breakdown.

[ej510]

10. Both dems ands repubs are oversampled. Party ID numbers are Dems 37

Repubs 28 Independents 35.

[MadBadger]

11. Party ID numbers change with each survey, its not a constant.

That said, the numbers you listed which I think CNN shows seems about right to me.

Kos for example has it 35-26-30, with 9% refusing.

[WeDidIt]

6. OH NOESS!!!!! That leaves only IBD/TIPP + AP as The Great Freep Hope polls

:evilgrin:

[MadBadger]

9. The one having McCain winning among 18-24 year olds by ten?

[alcibiades_mystery]

8. Even the FREEP hero GW/Battleground? Et tu, Battleground?

:rofl: