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OK... WTF is with the AP-GfK poll?

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LuckyTheDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 07:26 PM
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OK... WTF is with the AP-GfK poll?
http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com/pdf/AP-GfK_Poll_3_Topline_FINAL.pdf

It shows the race tied among "likely voters." Please tell me this poll is an outlier.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 07:26 PM
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 07:26 PM
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2. Who the fk is GfK?
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Franks Wild Years Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 07:27 PM
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3. Look at the total respondants figure.
47 - 37.

Presumably their "likely voter" model depends on Republicans outvoting Dems by a huge margin.
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 07:28 PM
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4. here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x7564669
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RollWithIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 07:45 PM
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5. According to fivethirtyeight.com they oversampled rural voters....
Something like 45% rural voters.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 08:00 PM
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6. it's McCain's pollster
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