Anyone remember the professor (I think) who predicted the 2004 outcome so well?

[Drunken Irishman]

He had a website up that ran poll data among other things and came close to the final outcome.

Anyone remember the link?

[Bicoastal]

1. Boy, that sure helps a lot.

[PBS Poll-435]

2. 2004 or 2006?

Are you thinking of Dr. Larry Sabato and his infamous "Crystal Ball?"


http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/

[midnight]

3. No but I'm recommending this so that someone might give us the

name of person.

[FreeState]

4. Here you go.... Alan Abramowitz hes predicting Obama BTW

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/19/2251/89116/839/604278

"Barack Obama has this one in the can, the Emory University political scientist says. Abramowitz’ call for November: A popular vote of 54.3 percent for Obama versus 45.7 percent for McCain.

Abramowitz says he’s got a "time for change" data model that fits the popular vote winner, within two percentage points, for the last five presidential elections.

The keys: The state of the economy, presidential approval ratings and the number of terms a party has been in power."



also there is this one:
http://www.dailytexanonline.com/ut_professors_predict_obama_to_be_next_president


"Government professors on Tuesday predicted presidential winners and losers and the possibility of a last-minute surprise victor.

Fewer than three weeks before Election Day, UT’s Department of Government and political science honor society Pi Sigma Alpha discussed the 2008 presidential election, specifically the role key states will play on Nov. 4, with a packed classroom in Batts Hall.

Government professor Daron Shaw and associate government professor Sean Theriault predicted a large margin of victory for Sen. Barack Obama in November."

[Lancer]

5. Maybe it's this guy?

A professor named Vanderbei from Princeton:

www.princeton.edu/~rvdb/JAVA/election2004/