Pollster.com National Polls not narrowing

[grantcart]

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/morning_status_update_for_wedn.php

On the other hand, the new national surveys show, if anything, evidence of a trend in the opposite direction. Obama's lead at the "nose" of our national trend lines has increased slightly each of the last three days, and (as of this writing) stands at 6.4 points (49.8% to 43.4%). Of the eight daily tracking polls, three showed movement yesterday in Obama's direction, one showed movement to McCain and four showed no change. And of the three new national non-daily-tracking surveys released yesterday, one (ARG) showed a one point movement to McCain, while two (NBC/Wall Street Journal and Pew Research Center) showed shifts to Obama during October of 4 and 7 points on the margin respectively.

[tridim]

1. So does Diebold have an "abort" button?

They better hope it functions.

[grantcart]

4. lol

[beachmom]

2. I think pollster.com is a good place to get an idea of what is happening.

Not cherrypicking a poll or two.

[grantcart]

3. they even include ARG

[grantcart]

5. ..

[uponit7771]

6. AP\GFK poll is contraditory, in SAME story they sent to wire they said Obama was leading by 10 pts

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

7. Pollsters should stick with RV because nobody has a clue about who is LV this year

There is certainly no tightening in top-line numbers.

I have no doubt that Obama will under-perform some RV polling but nobody's LV formulas are worth a damn this year.

(Or, more precisely, nobody will know whose LV formula turned out to be worth a damn until after the election.)

I won't be surprised if Obama wins by 12% or 2%.