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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
holiday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:00 PM
Original message
What is with this?
Why is it some news articles say Obama has double digit lead and then other articles say it's neck and neck (IN THE SAME FREAKING DAY)

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/ap_poll_presidential_race


WASHINGTON – The presidential race tightened after the final debate, with John McCain gaining among whites and people earning less than $50,000, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll that shows McCain and Barack Obama essentially running even among likely voters in the election homestretch.

The poll, which found Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent, supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain's "Joe the plumber" analogy struck a chord.
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FatDave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. AP hyping an outlier poll by a second-rate pollster.
That's my take. I've never heard of Gfk and don't see them among fivethirtyeight.com's pollster ratings.
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Sebastian Doyle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
2. AP is pushing this shit on the radio too.
Why the FUCK do Nova M and AAR continue to use this shitty excuse for a news service? They're almost as bad as FAUX.
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budkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:08 PM
Response to Original message
3. Ron Fournier... nuff said... this poll is FLAT OUT WRONG.
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slackmaster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:10 PM
Response to Original message
4. They're just polls
Edited on Wed Oct-22-08 03:11 PM by slackmaster
Even with perfect sampling methods and unbiased, honest pollsters (which may not even exist at all), published results are going to be flat-out wrong (i.e. outside their stated percentage limits) about 5% of the time.
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bushisanidiot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
5. Obviously they've polling repukes only in that poll. Even Fox has Obama up by 9 pts. today.
either that, or AP is polling Florida and accidentally called it a national poll.
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holiday Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. Well it's weird
because they are saying dead heat... and below that you can check election results every day

Obama has 300 and some electoral points

McCain has 160

How is that tied race??
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