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Today's Zogby Poll-Obama-51.6%, McCain-42%

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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:22 PM
Original message
Today's Zogby Poll-Obama-51.6%, McCain-42%
Obama's biggest lead yet in that poll:
Pollster John Zogby: “Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews1604.html
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brooklynite Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
1. My God! Under 10%? He can't close the deal!"
I think we should give up now...
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Yes. I'm very concerned about that!
:)
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Two Sheds Donating Member (419 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. it's Zogby giving him that extra 1.6% that I like.
nm
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ihelpu2see Donating Member (935 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
4. Two polls in consecutive days have Obama up by 10%+ or -.. But the new AP poll
says it is dead even???? Who the heck was AP polling.... I spoke to 3 independents here in CT and all three, fairly conservative Indis are voting for Sen Obama...
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:38 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. What AP poll? n/t
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ihelpu2see Donating Member (935 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. sorry here is the link
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081022/ap_on_el_pr/ap_poll_presidential_race_3

I dont believe it anyway. And it is the State polls that matter any how!!
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jenmito Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Thanks. The internals are wayyyy off compared to every other poll.
I call BS.
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BumRushDaShow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-22-08 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Sludge cherry-picked that AP poll and ignored all the rest.
:rofl:
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