New Zogby Poll Obama 51.6%, McCain 42.0%

[MidwestTransplant]

Versus 50.3 to 42.2 yesterday.

UTICA, New York – Democrat Barack Obama moved very close to a double–digit lead over Republican John McCain in the national horserace for President, continuing his slow push forward above the 50% mark, gaining 1.3 points in the last day.

McCain is slowly losing ground, having lost another 0.4 points in this latest report on the Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll.

Pollster John Zogby: “Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”

[TeamJordan23]

1. call it what it is: 52-42. hehe. nm

[hvn_nbr_2]

8. That was my thought too.

Why do they give numbers to tenths when the margin of error is 3 or 4%? It's like saying the temperature in my living room is 72.375689543 degrees plus or minus 3 degrees.

[FVZA_Colonel]

2. So... will Matt Drudge flip to that one poll that had Obama at +1, or just drink until 2009?

[Curtland1015]

3. Chuck Toad: Why can't Obama get the extra ".4" and seal the deal with 52?

:shrug:

[BzaDem]

6. That's more like David Gregory

Though David would claim Obama hasn't closed the deal even if he won 60-40.

[HughMoran]

4. I was just going to post this. Just when I thought Zogby would bounce back - up again!!

Wow, this has been a week of surprises. Anybody who says the Powell endorsement wasn't a big event is smoking crack.

[Bicoastal]

5. I actually decided to read what ZOMG!by has to say...

He sez:

"These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”

ZOMG!

[blue sky at night]

7. If I were the pukes.....

I would be thinking.....is there something fucked up about us????????

then I would begin a list; a long, long, long, list.........try pages and pages worth.





CHange, HOpe, OBama......!