McCain Fights to Keep Crucial Blue State in Play

[MannyGoldstein]

"Strategists insist that Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes are within reach for Senator McCain’s campaign." - NY Times

After 28 years of far-right rule, it's nice to finally see the bad guys struggle. Let's hope it's a trend.

Time for a Sam Adams. (Actually, he'd be pleased with current political events.)

That is all.

[MindMatter]

1. Let's be clear about the numbers

Let's say McCain can pull the big comeback in PA. And let's say he also wins all of these states where he is either tied or behind: OH, ND, IN, FL, NC, and NV. That would be quite a sweep. But even with that, he still loses 276-262.

So he has to get all those, plus another 8 electors, which could come from:

Colorado (9)
Virginia (13)
Missouri (11)
New Mexico + New Hampshire (9)

Not mathematically impossible, but that would have to be an unprecedented comeback, especially considering that he apparently is not even contesting CO or NM anymore.

So that means realistically he must get Virginia or Missouri plus all of these: PA, OH, ND, IN, FL, NC, and NV, and he's not ahead in ANY of those states.

[AndyTiedye]

2. If He Does, It Will Have Less to do with Probability and More to do with Programming

[GrizzlyMan]

4. I came up with a scenario where Obama lost PA, NC, OH, FLA, IN, MO

And still won the election 270-268. In that scenario Obama would only need to win VA, NV, CO and NM to seal the deal. Obviously we don't want to go that route, but it demonstrates the dire straits McSame is in.

[FVZA_Colonel]

3. I'd really like to see the "information" these strategists have that leads them to believe this.

That "information" that runs counter to every poll available to the public right now.


Unless, of course, they're just making specious claims without any hard foundation...