WaPo/ABC tracking poll unchanged Obama 53 McCain 44

[jezebel]

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/behind-the-numbers/

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Posted at 05:00 PM ET, 10/21/2008
Obama Leads Among the Young and the Landline-less
Barack Obama is up 12 points over John McCain among white voters under 30, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. That is a reversal from 2004, when John F. Kerry lost these voters by 10 points.

The senator from Illinois is also exceeding Kerry's take by large margins among first-time voters (20 points better), moderates and African Americans (nine points each).

Another closely-watched group this year, particularly for the poll-obsessed, are those voters who have abandoned traditional phone service for mobile phones. Obama leads by better than 2 to 1 among these voters.

In 2004, 7 percent of voters indicated that they were "cell-only," according to the network exit poll; they went for Kerry over George W. Bush by 54 to 45 percent. Now, when these voters are poised to make up an even larger share of the electorate, 67 percent back Obama, 32 percent support McCain. (These data do not indicate any bias in polls without cell phone samples; but more on that as we continue the track.)


Thanks largely to the Democratic tilt among all of these voters, Obama maintains a large, nine-point lead in the new Post-ABC national tracking poll. Obama is up 53 to 44 percent over McCain among likely voters and 52 to 42 among all registered voters. Both sets are unchanged from yesterday.

[Alhena]

1. Works for me- I'm not greedy

[bluestateguy]

2. Ugh. Not another tracking poll to worry about every day!

Why can't all these pollsters just go away and die somewhere?

[godai]

3. I like this new daily tracking poll...includes cellphone users.

It includes cellphone users and is a 4 day average. Among cellphone users, Obama leads 67-32. Think what that does to other polls that don't include cellphone users.

[WI_DEM]

4. Looks good.