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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:16 PM
Original message
PEW - OBAMA 52-38
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:16 PM
Response to Original message
1. If my math is right, that's 14 POINTS!!!
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama up 2 and McCain down 2 since last poll
Barack Obama’s lead over John McCain has steadily increased since mid-September, when the race was essentially even. Shortly after the first presidential debate on Sept. 26, Obama moved to a 49% to 42% lead; that margin inched up to 50% to 40% in a poll taken just after the second debate. Currently, Obama enjoys his widest margin yet over McCain among registered voters, at 52% to 38%. When the sample of voters is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 39%.
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azmouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
3. *sniff, sniff*
Smells like a landslide.
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WhollyHeretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
4. and PEW likely voters is at %53-39
:wow:
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
5. Among likely voters, it's 53-39.
So still a 14 point spread.

Anyone know how good Pew is, though?
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blogslut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:26 PM
Response to Reply #5
41. PEW is hella good.
I didn't know they were tracking the elections. I usually use them as reference for Internet-type statistics.

http://people-press.org/about/
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Captain Hilts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
6. Mookie agrees it won't be close.
Mook, veteran of eight years in polling.
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SuperTrouper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
7. PEW is dead to RCP, Freepers and La Senorita Drudge.
:loveya: However, I love these results.
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:20 PM
Response to Reply #7
14. I got it from RCP.
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SuperTrouper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:30 PM
Response to Reply #14
21. Yes, I just checked RCP and Obama's lead goes >6% in RCP average. Thanks
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:40 PM
Response to Reply #7
26. Pew is "in the tank" for Obama.
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tblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
8. That 'real America' strategy is just working gangbusters for McKKKain!
I have been waiting to see McKKKain dip into the 30s! My, isn't it getting chilly out there in the 'real America'?
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #8
32. Anybody with a brain could've told McCain that he needs suburban whites in "fake America" to win
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 02:46 PM by Hippo_Tron
And that this divisive shit is just pushing them to vote for Obama. But I guess there's no shortage of braindead people running the McCain campaign.
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jobycom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
9. Pew, indeed. Those numbers do stink for McCain. nt
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Whalestoe Donating Member (928 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
10. I thought the polls were tightening?
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Alhena Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
11. Shows the results you get when you include cell phone users
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
12. B-b-b-but....the race is TIGHTENING!!!!11
Now let's get back to bashing Joe Biden. :eyes:
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
13. I love the "personally critical" breakdown.
3/4 down the page :)
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dennis4868 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
15. GOBAMA!
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 02:21 PM by dennis4868
I think the Powell endorsement is going to help Obama more than anyone would have thought...We may not like him here that much but much of AMERICA LOVES HIM AND TRUSTS HIM!
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bunnies Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:21 PM
Response to Original message
16. The internals are STUNNING!
For example:

... Sarah Palin appears to be a continuing – if not an increasing – drag on the GOP ticket. Currently, 49% of voters express an unfavorable opinion of Palin, while 44% have a favorable view. In mid-September, favorable opinions of Palin outnumbered negative ones by 54% to 32%. Women, especially women under age 50, have become increasingly critical of Palin: 60% now express an unfavorable view of Palin, up from 36% in mid-September. Notably, opinions of Palin have a greater impact on voting intentions than do opinions of Joe Biden, Obama’s running mate.


HA! :rofl:
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:41 PM
Response to Reply #16
28. No kidding!
Is there a single good thing in there for McCain? Obama even leads on Iraq now, 48-42, almost a mirror opposite of the results a month ago.
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demosincebirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
17. Put that in your pipe and smoke it!!
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deadparrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
18. B-b-b-but....the race is TIGHTENING!!!!11
Now let's get back to bashing Joe Biden. :eyes:
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Faygo Kid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
19. Wow. Just wow. This is shaping up like 1964 and 1984.
Wow.
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Pirate Smile Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
20. Is that the tightening Republicans and stupid pundits are flogging? Was he up 20 points in the last
one?

Now it is ONLY 14 points - JUST.14.PERCENTAGE.POINTS. Oh NOES!!!!

:evilgrin:
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kick-ass-bob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:35 PM
Response to Reply #20
25. Right where they want him.
:thumbsup:
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4lbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:31 PM
Response to Original message
22. The only things tightening are GOP guts and bowels as they gradually face stark reality.
n/t
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:34 PM
Response to Original message
23. Anyone know how Pew did in prognosticating 2004 and 2000?
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:43 PM
Response to Reply #23
29. here
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:47 PM
Response to Reply #29
33. Thanks - Looks as if Pew was very close to final result in both elections.
Good to know. They must have sound techniques.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #23
31. Here is late in the 2004 race
http://people-press.org/report/232/

Bush had a slight lead among likely voters Oct 31, 2004.
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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
24. K & R!
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Mark E. Smith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:40 PM
Response to Original message
27. K n R
News this good must be visible.
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TheCoxwain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:44 PM
Response to Original message
30. "Screwn" is the new past participle of the infinitive "To Screw", that people like to throw around
whatever happened to "Screwed" .. did the dog eat it up?
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #30
34. McCain's pewned.
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:15 PM
Response to Original message
35. I what state? Thx
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:18 PM
Response to Reply #35
36. National (all states combined) n/t
Edited on Tue Oct-21-08 03:18 PM by FreeState
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #36
38. Yeah, I just saw that and spit out my water....this is crazy, there's NO WAY they're gonna take this
...one
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
37. CNN and MSNBC are running out of Polls to run to
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blogslut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:24 PM
Response to Original message
39. whoa
n/t
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npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:24 PM
Response to Original message
40. Wow......
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Critters2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
42. Holy Crap!! McSame must be wondering why he's even bothering at this point. nt
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NightHawk63 Donating Member (447 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
43. I'm starting to let my jaded, pessismistic ass actually believe (nt)
:kick:
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A-Schwarzenegger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #43
44. It's happening.
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RagAss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 05:55 PM
Response to Original message
45. Bbbbbutt....He's ah ah ah ah ah ah Arab....
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Mayberry Machiavelli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-21-08 05:58 PM
Response to Original message
46. WHY CAN'T HE SEAL THE DEAL lol
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