(No way that Obama loses popular vote. He will get big victories out of blue states probably bigger than Gore or Kerry did and he is running better than either Gore or Kerry or any recent democrat in red states).
In what could be a huge Democratic landslide in New Jersey, Sen. Barack Obama tops Republican Sen. John McCain 59 - 36 percent while incumbent Democratic Sen. Frank Lautenberg leads Republican challenger Dick Zimmer 55 - 33 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 48 - 45 percent Sen. Obama lead in a September 16 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Sen. Lautenberg held a 48 - 39 percent likely voter lead September 17.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1221&What=&strArea=;&strTime=120oter Preference; Oct. 16-18, 2008
Cook County Collar Down Party ID
State Total Chicago Subs Counties state Dem. Ind. GOP Men Women
% % % % % % % % % % %
Obama 56 72 83 61 47 45 90 45 13 55 58
McCain 32 19 10 28 39 41 4 34 81 34 30
Others (Net) 3 2 1 4 2 3 2 5 1 4 2
Nader 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 4 1 3 1
Barr * 1 - 1 - * - 1 - * *
Other candidate * 1 - 1 - - 1 - - * -
Undecided 9 7 6 8 12 10 5 15 6 8 11
http://www.chicagotribune.com/media/acrobat/2008-10/42988996.pdf