(R) asmussen Virginia: Obama 54, McCain 44 (Powell helping among military voters?)

[darius15]

Barack Obama has opened his biggest lead yet over John McCain in Virginia. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Obama now leading 54% to 44%. The Democrat leads 51% to 48% among men and 57% to 42% among women (see full demographic crosstabs).

Just one week ago, Obama held a three percentage point lead but Obama has been dramatically outspending McCain on television advertising in this critical state. The Democrat has now been ahead of McCain in five straight Virginia polls conducted by Rasmussen Reports.

Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Virginia voters and unfavorably by 40%. McCain’s numbers are 55% favorable, 44% unfavorable.

George W. Bush won Virginia by eight percentage points in both 2000 and 2004, but Democrats have focused on Virginia this year as a red state they hope to peel away from Republicans. No Democrat has won the state since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. But, with release of this poll, Virginia moves from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives Obama a 83.5 % chance of carrying Virginia this fall.

Though both candidates have been criticized for negative campaigning this year, most Virginia voters (52%) think the overall tone of this election is about the same as past elections. Just 12% believe this election is more positive, while 35% say it is more negative. Only 50% believe it is possible to win an election without criticizing the opponent, while 40% disagree.

While the plurality of voters (43%) believes Obama’s campaign has been generally positive, over half (54%) say McCain’s has been generally negative.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election

[HockeyMom]

1. My daughter's childhood friend

Changed his Republican party affiliation after his first tour of Iraq. He is being shipped to his 3rd tour the end of this month. He is 23 years old, with a new wife, and a baby on the way.

I really hope he makes it back this time in one piece, physically and mentally.

[cbc5g]

2. I think this poll was done before the Powell endorsement

Needless to say, it's looking like an Obama win in Virginia which would be historic.

[JaneQPublic]

3. Yet MSNBC (C. Todd) still lists it as a toss-up state (nt)

[Whalestoe]

4. Dear McCain, This is REAL Virginia, motherfuckers.

:rofl:

[SuperTrouper]

5. If Virginia and North Carolina move to Obama's column we are talking

landslide which will sweep Georgia, Missouri, and North Dakota.