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Today's Over/Under: McCain's 538.com Maximum Chances Of Winning Until Election Day...

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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-08 09:49 AM
Original message
Poll question: Today's Over/Under: McCain's 538.com Maximum Chances Of Winning Until Election Day...
Edited on Mon Oct-20-08 09:53 AM by BlooInBloo
bnRight now they're at 6.9%, up from a low of 4-ish% a week ago.

I'll put the over/under at **20%** *maximum McCain's 538.com chances of winning from until election day*.

Do you think his *maximum* chances of winning will be over or under that?

EDIT: Linkage: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-08 09:58 AM
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1. Hmm... Methinks I put the number too high. Oh well.
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Abacus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-08 10:10 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Perhaps another attempt, with increments of 10% that simply assess odds
Edited on Mon Oct-20-08 10:11 AM by Abacus
rather than odds of odds.

Edit: or 5% or anything else for that matter
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-20-08 10:38 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Then it wouldn't be an over/under. :)
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