Rasmussen (R) Obama 50% (Steady) McPalin 45% (Down 1)

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


I would take a 50% -45% win on election day...

[MoJoWorkin]

1. The tightening of the polls is good, so we will NOT get cocky---as Barack put it

Of course, I am referring to DKos R2000 poll, but I imagine there will be a general tightening up until the election.

[Zynx]

4. I think the polls will reflect a 6-point Obama lead on election day and he wins by 7-8.

Turnout is going to be much stronger for us than them.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I Hope You're Right

~

[Schulzz]

2. Nate Silver was probably right again.

He said the first day after the debate could have been Obama +9-10 (one day) from a look at the debate poll internals and that his lead would probably increase a bit over the weekend. If he was right, tomorrow's result will be even better.

[scheming daemons]

3. 23 straight days of Barack being 50 to 52..... the support has hardened

[scrappydo]

6. Gallup for Saturday, October 18: Obama 50%, McCain 43%....

A seven-point spread! :bounce:

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. That's Yesterday

Gallup doesn't update to 1 P M EST

[HughMoran]

8. Good news - very little change from 50-45 seems to be occuring

The average lead will likely settle in at about 6% with 2 weeks to go & perhaps 3-4% by election day (which will be more than enough).