17-10-2008 IBD/TIPP DAILY : OBAMA 46 %(+1)-McCAIN 41%(-1)

[JBTO26]

No McCain momentum either.

Daily tracking polls today

Gallup: Obama +7

Hotline:Obama +10

R2K: Obama +6

Rasmussen: Obama +4

GWU/Battleground: Obama +4

IBD/TIPP: Obama +5


What we can say at this point is that the debate didn't really change the dynamic of the race (only R2K saw a significant narrowing of Obama's lead), but the race is still close with Obama leading by about 4-6 points.

[Schulzz]

1. Nate Silver thinks Obama might have been ahead 9-10 points in today's Rasmussen.

"On the other hand, it appears to me from analyzing the cross-tabs in the Rasmussen debate poll, that Obama had quite a strong day in Rasmussen's tracking yesterday, winning the daily sample by 9-10 points. If I'm right, then Obama's number in the Rasmussen poll is liable to improve over the weekend."

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/busy-busy-busy.html

[JBTO26]

3. debate polls haven't really affected

the tracking poll results so far.All debate polls saw Obama winning by significant margins , yet he didn't have a particularly good night of polling yesterday .

[Teaser]

16. probably wrong.

if Nate Silver's deconvolution algorithm is right, he DID have a good day in Rasmussen's sample last night.

[jefferson_dem]

2. Thanks for posting.

I was looking for the IDB/TIPP digits. Do you have a linky?

[JBTO26]

4. http://www.tipponline.com/

http://www.tipponline.com/

[crossroads]

14. Thanks... Welcome to DU

[SuperTrouper]

5. The Freepers must be angry. They said that the best polling ever

was from IBD/TIPP. It started on 10/13/08 and Obama was ahead by 2 points and every day he improves his standing. TIPP is now dead to the Freepers...LOL!! Maybe Drudge has something for them...remember Drudge put TIPP on his banner when Obama was ahead by 2 points, now it has disappeared. :rofl:

[Drunken Irishman]

7. Isn't the IBD/TIPP poll run by a right-wing magazine?

[David__77]

8. IBD = "Investors Business Daily," a far right paper.

They are far worse than Wall Street Journal. A real nest of kooks.

[JBTO26]

10. yep, but TIPP does the polling

and BTW they were the most accurate national poll in 2004 . They are new and are probably still adjusting their samples but they should be taken seriously.

[SuperTrouper]

18. I do take them seriously but they lean to the right like RNCsmussen

[MadBadger]

6. R2K has Obama up 10

It was just a 6 point lead in today's sample.

[JBTO26]

9. Exact , but a +6 in today's sample

that's a little bit more relevant IMO.

[Teaser]

15. single sample much?

You're telling me you have the confidence limits on a single day's sample?

How'd you do that?

[MadBadger]

19. Single day samples arent trustworthy at all.

They are too small.

[RichGirl]

11. Actually the average is +6 and that isn't close especially since it's been consistent.

[scheming daemons]

12. This is the poll that all the freepers claim is the most accurate..... Big oops for them!

[Teaser]

13. 4-6 is not a close race

5% points = electoral landslide.

[elkston]

17. How can ANYBODY still be undecided. I'm sick of this shit.

We shouldn't be seeing any polls that don't add up to 100%

[SKKY]

20. Why does the MSM keep saying that the race is tightening???

It seems pretty status quo to me.