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Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/14-15. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/16-17 results)
McCain (R) 45 (53)
Obama (D) 45 (40)
It looks like the nation's economic woes have dragged this state back into a tie, after seemingly out of reach for Obama. This confirms two recent polls showing the race neck-and-neck.
Let's be honest here -- this isn't a state we need to win. It's 3 electoral votes won't make much a difference to Obama's chances of victory. It's mathematically irrelevant.
But politically, it would be HUGE. This is a state Bush won by 28 points in 2004. Obama would expand the Democratic map, earning a national mandate by winning in every region of the country. And it would show Republicans that they aren't safe anywhere, not even in their supposed "strongholds".
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/17/134335/23/442/633159============