THE DAILY POLL FIX: Recap Of Today's Polls and The State of the Race

[MadBadger]

THE DAILY POLL FIX: Recap Of Today's Polls and The State of the Race

Here are the polls out for today

I'm not going to be paying any attention to RCP's average for the national race because they have a selective way of choosing the polls to include that I find bullshit, so instead I've created my own average to accompany Pollster's, which is also behind on their reporting

National Polls

Kos/R2K: Obama 52(unchanged), McCain 41(+1)
LA Times: Obama 50(+1), McCain 41(-4)
CBS/NYTimes: Obama 53(+5), McCain 39(-6)
Gallup*: Obama 51 (unchanged), McCain 42(+1)
Rasmussen: Obama 50(unchanged), McCain 45(unchanged)
GWU: Obama 53(+2), McCain 40(-3)
Hotline: obama 48(unchanged), McCain 42(unchanged)
Zogby: Obama 49(+1), McCain 43(-1)
IBD/TIPP: Obama 45, McCain 43
ARG: Obama 50(+1), McCain 45(unchanged)

HNMNF Average: Obama 50.8(+.8), McCain 41.5(-.7)

Pollster Average: Obama 50.9(+.9), McCain 42.4(+.4)

Gallup has gone with a couple new formats to measure voter support, but I'm sticking with the original format.

State Polls

Pennsylvania
SUSA: Obama 55(unchanged), McCain 40(unchanged)
Morning Call: Obama 51(unchanged), McCain 38(unchanged)
RCP Average O:+13.4

Wisconsin
Quinnipiac: Obama 54(+5), McCain 37(-5)
RCP Average O:+10.4

Colorado
Quinnipiac: Obama 52(+3), McCain 43(-2)
Suffolk: Obama 47, McCain 43
RCP Average is Obama +5, but they leave out a PPP poll that is Obama +10.

Minnesota
Quinnipiac: Obama 51(+4), McCain 40(-5)
RCP Average: O+8.7

Michigan: Obama 54(+6), McCain 38(-6)
RCP Average: O:+10.5

Ohio
SUSA: Obama 50(+2), McCain 45(-4)
RCP Average: O:+3.4

Missouri
PPP: Obama 48(+8), McCain 46(-4)

North Carolina
PPP: Obama 49(unchanged), McCain 46(+3)

My Electoral Map

I am moving North Dakota to tossup because of the recent forum poll showing Obama up 2. I am also moving Wisconsin to solid Obama based on three polls showing him with a ten point lead and the Q-poll with him up 17.



http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html

http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/08-us-pres-ge-mvo.php






Pollster's Average: Obama 50.9(+.9), McCain 42.4(+.4)

[MadBadger]

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