Why Political Polls Are Totally Worthless in this Election Cycle

[GOPAgainstGW]

1. How do you poll 500 to 1,000 people and predict what approx 100 million people are going to do in an election, which is approx. how many voted in 2000 for President. Answer is you can’t, it’s statistically impossible!

2. Who actually answers these polls? I mean most people are busy working hard all day and don’t have time to listen to some pollsters BS. If you look at polls over the last 15 years, they track the TV garbage quite well, which never equates to actual cast votes on Election day.

3. These media polls are based on the popular vote, which means nothing, ask Al Gore! All that matters is the Electoral Vote. I have never seen one electoral vote poll, out two months, that was accurate.

4. Polls don’t determine if the person is actually going to vote that way, if they actually even vote at all.

5. Media polls are not independent, or statically valid. The media many times will make these polls show what is best to sell newspapers, or TV advertising time, NOT show valid and representative information.

6. Based on the information we are receiving, there is a massive number of “closet Republicans and Independents” voting for Kerry-Edwards. Obviously, they are not subject to accurate polling. Probably would equate to 8 -14 point lead for Kerry-Edwards currently, IMO.

7 In my 35 years of political election experience, I have never seen the number of Republicans that are saying they are not going to vote for President come November. They don’t like Bush, not sure about Kerry, and are sick of our disgusting Presidential election process, particularly after what the Country went through in 2000.

This situation is very positive for Kerry-Edwards and negative for Bush-Cheney as it dilutes their voting base statistically against the Kerry-Edwards voting base.

John O’Neill and his SBVT fraud are greatly contributing to this problem. Accordingly, the SBVT frauds are actually helping Kerry-Edwards by disenfranchising the Republican base that is sick of all the mud slinging, and therefore are not going to vote. Surprise.....Surprise, Mr. expert Karl Rove!

8. If the polls were accurate, Clinton would have lost in 92, because that is what his campaign people thought, the night before the election, based on all the poll numbers!

Clinton slammed H.W. Bush the next day in Nov '92 370/168 electoral votes.

We have the exact same election dynamics, as to voter mentality, again in 2004.

Hope this helps,

R.E.

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Beltway and Texas Republicans
Against Bush-Cheney ’04, Inc.
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[Career Prole]

1. I can also easily imagine a whole bunch of draft-age first-time voters

showing up for this one from what I've heard in general conversation.

[LisaL]

3. Well, they should vote,

unless they want to fight in more wars somewhere in the desert.

[demgrrrll]

4. I remember watching The War Room and the scene where Carville

is talking out loud about Clinton's concession speech because of the poll results in 92. So there. I think Kerry is going to win because there are going to be so many new people in the mix.

[oasis]

6. That's right. Throw in many chickenhawk freepers who just talk tough but

no way do they want an expanded war that they would have to take part in.

[GOPAgainstGW]

7. Good Point - I haven't look at the new Draft Legislation-God Help Us If

it happens. This Country will ripe apart at the seams!

[MoonRiver]

2. I'm so glad you're here on DU.

Please don't ever go away! :yourock:

[LisaL]

5. It does help.

:yourock:

[GOPAgainstGW]

8. Thanks!! I'm glad you are here!! - Many Awesome People at DU

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Beltway and Texas Republicans
Against Bush-Cheney ’04, Inc.
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