TPM Track Composite: Obama Ahead By Nearly Eight Points (50% / 42.2%)

[jefferson_dem]

TPM Track Composite: Obama Ahead By Nearly Eight Points
from TPM Election Central by Eric Kleefeld

Here's our daily composite of the five major national tracking polls. With two days of post-debate data within these three-day trackers, Barack Obama is ahead by nearly eight points. His support is holding about where it was before the debate, while John McCain's may be declining even further:

• Gallup: Obama 51%, McCain 41%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-41% lead yesterday.

• Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.

• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 48%, McCain 41%, with a ±3.3% margin of error, compared to a 47%-41% Obama lead yesterday.

• Research 2000: Obama 52%, McCain 40%, with a ±3% margin of error, Compared to a 51%-41% Obama lead yesterday.

• Zogby: Obama 48%, McCain 43%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 48%-44% Obama lead yesterday.

Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 50.0%-42.2%, a nearly eight-point lead, compared to a 49.9%-42.6% Obama lead yesterday. In the data collected before the debate, the score was Obama 49.7%, McCain 43.2%.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/tpm_track_composite_obama_ahea.php

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Keep those attacks up, McCain!

[jenmito]

2. Thanks for this post! It looks like the polls are no longer "tightening" as was said

yesterday. (And CNN'S "poll of polls" yesterday had Obama up 49%-43% when it was 48%-44% the day before.) :hi:

[jenmito]

3. K&R BTW.

:)

[bluejohn]

4. I love these numbers. But IMO obama and biden have to go on offensive now to keep their lead.

[Drunken Irishman]

5. They're doin fine.

[jenmito]

6. Why? McCain/Palin are DROPPING in the polls. And all they're doing is going "on the offensive"

with smears and lies. Obama is setting the record straight AND giving his solutions for the things people CARE about.