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Edited on Wed Oct-08-08 06:33 AM by regnaD kciN
Prepare for "Chicken Little" panic in 3...2...1... :eyes:
(No internals yet, but I assume they'll be up soon. Since Sunday's daily polling was at +11, and Monday's at +9, it would stand to reason that yesterday's result was somewhere between +9 and +11, all of which would round to a +10 tracking margin. If so, it would indicate that the Sunday and Monday all-Ayers-all-the-time G.O.P. campaign didn't have much of an impact on the race.)
ON EDIT: The internals are up, and actually indicate a +8 lead for yesterday (which they mistakenly list as "Wednesday"). This doesn't make any sense on the face of it, as 11+9+8=28, for an average margin of 9.3, which should round down to 9 rather than up to ten. I can only assume that it's a matter of precision, and maybe the +9 two days ago was actually +9.4 or something like that. In any event, it shows some narrowing, but very little. Since it appears that the first day of the Ayers-O-Thon was Saturday, not Sunday as I had assumed, it would appear that the G.O.P. had picked up about 2% from the gambit overall, which would have been meaningful in a tight race, but is less so right now. In any event, tomorrow's polling will show the first impact of the debate, so that will probably be the driving "political event" from that point on.
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