hotline daily tracking/ OBAMA 48 MCCAIN 41

[trailer5533]

Obama/Biden 48%
McCain/Palin 41%
Undec 9%

- The Diageo/Hotline tracking poll has switched to LVs. Only RVs who describe themselves as "extremely likely" or "very likely" to vote, or have already voted, will be included in the survey.

- Touchdown Fighting Illini? Obama has tied his largest lead in the tracking poll. The Dem nominee now leads McCain by 7%, equaling his advantage in the survey completed 9/25.

- Can I Call You Joe? Biden has his best favorable rating in the survey thus far. The DE Sen.'s fav figure crossed the 50% threshold for the first time, and his fav/unfav now stands at 52%/31%. One week ago, in the survey completed 9/26, he stood at 41%/34%.

- Field (Ops) Of Dreams. By a 2:1 ratio, LVs who have been contacted directly by only one camp say it's Obama's. 14% say they've heard from just Obama, 7% have heard from only McCain and 12% have heard from both. Among Indies, 10% have heard from only Obama, 6% have heard from just McCain and 18% have heard from both.

Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/1-3 by FD, surveyed 915 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.2%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 19%I.

For subscribers, look to Monday's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.


http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/

[darius15]

1. Nice! 1 month left to go, and we have a sweet lead!

[jefferson_dem]

2. This is awesome, especially considering partisan breakdown of the sample.

41%D, 36%R, 19%I.

I'm nearly certain Dems are better than +5 in the voting public right now so these numbers may actually underestimate Obama's advantage.

[livetohike]

3. Great!

:hi: Thanks for posting this.