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Joanne98 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:24 AM
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Obama v McCain - Who's Got the "A-Team" for the Continuing Economic Crisis

By Bud_the_Wiser - October 4, 2008, 3:10AM
As we face the worst job market since 9/11 and the worst housing market since....(1991 or the 1930s?), it's going to take a lot of work on economic policy to dig us out of this quagmire (which is where all Bush presidencies seem to leave America).

Others have likely commented here on this topic, but I got to thinking about who McCain and Obama have ready to deal with these problems, after reading this today from Krugman:

One thing’s for sure: The next administration’s economic team had better be ready to hit the ground running, because from day one it will find itself dealing with the worst financial and economic crisis since the Great Depression.

Perhaps it wasn't so surprising that, given the Obama campaign's great organizational skills, it was quite easy to find info on who is involved in Obama's economic decision making. Finding info on McCain's team took a lot more work.

For this latest financial crisis it is pretty clear who is getting better depth and expertise in their economic advice:

The Obama Financial Crisis Team

Warren Buffett, Paul O’Neill, Bob Rubin, Joe Stiglitz, Larry Summers, Dan Tarullo, Laura Tyson and Paul Volcker

So, that's:
3 former Treasury Secretaries (2 Dems, 1 Rep)
1 former Chairman of the Federal Reserve
1 former Chair of the President's Council of Economic Advisers
1 former Presidential Advisor for International Economic Policy
1 former Chief Economist of the World Bank
and, of course, the world’s most successful investor.

McCain's Economic Advisory Core

There has been scant info on any recent additions to McCain's advisory team, especially as far as who really is being consulted. This is a list of those with specific financial industry or monetary policy expertise who have been in the news as McCain advisors.

John Thain, CEO of Merrill Lynch,
Douglas Holtz-Eakin, former Congressional Budget Office director,
Martin Feldstein, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers under Reagan,
John Taylor, Stanford University professor and former Deputy Treasury Secretary,
Donald Luskin, chief investment officer at Trend Macrolytics (who primarily has a background in options trading).

Holtz-Eakin is the main advisor and it seems that it his association that has brought in Taylor, who is one of the only higher profile advisors with finance/monetary policy expertise that I can find a report of actually having met with McCain recently. Another report also notes recent consultations with Feldstien and Carly Fiorina (whose background is Marketing, not Finance!?!?).

The only larger list of advisors I have found for McCain is one that dates as far back as last summer, but few of these names have appeared in the news.

Obama's Centrist Team is Well Respected

No less than the Weekly Standard has called the Obama team "Centrist."

Bloomberg also had a nice report on the core team doing a lot of the day-to-day grunt work putting policies together. They describe it as follows:

"Three academics -- Austan Goolsbee, 37, a University of Chicago professor and columnist for The New York Times, Jeffrey Liebman, 39, a pension and poverty expert at Harvard University, in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and David Cutler, 41, a Harvard health economist -- form the core of Obama's economic team.

`Top-Notch Economists'

``They're all top-notch economists,'' said Greg Mankiw, a Harvard professor and former chief White House economist for President George W. Bush. ``Their views are left of the political center, as one would expect, but only slightly.''

A trio of seasoned Washington hands bolsters the academics: Karen Kornbluh, policy director in Obama's Senate office; Daniel Tarullo, a professor at Georgetown University in Washington, and a former senior economic adviser in the Clinton administration; and Michael Froman, the chief of staff for former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin who now works with his old boss at Citigroup Inc."

The full report is here.

McCain "Displays No Consistent Economic Principles"

The Weekly Standard also has a nice piece on McCain's economic team, circa February 2008. One of the most interesting observations about McCain is that:

"McCain's method in domestic matters no less than in foreign affairs is military: He surveys a set of facts, identifies a villain, fixes him with his steely gaze, and then goes after him...."

"What's unsettling is that you can never predict who the next bad guy will be. No consistent economic principles can be extracted from McCain's grab bag of policy positions, and no amount of textbook baloney about the free market, deregulation, and limited government will deter him from bringing his malefactors to justice. McCain's economics aren't ideological but improvisational--a campaign with shifting fronts, running on indignation."

McCain Campaign's Economic Advisory Team a Complete Failure

However the McCain camp has organized and utilized its economic advisory team, it is quite clear that the team has completely failed in keeping Candidate McCain up-to-date on the state of the economy and crafting his economic message and policies. McCain's revelation of his ignorance on the state of the economy on September 15th marks the point of collapse in his poll numbers and will likely mark the beginning of the end for McCain/Palin.

The team's failure to understand the health and direction of the economy was illustrated not only in McCain's line that, "the fundamentals of our economy are strong" but in the very words of one of his only advisors with private sector experience in the financial markets, Donald Luskin, who claimed on September 14th that:

"Things today just aren't that bad." And went on to claim that the most likely forecast is that "we're on the brink not of recession, but of accelerating prosperity."

With advisors like these is it any wonder that John McCain, by his very words and actions, is daily providing the evidence and argument for why he is completely unfit to be President of the United States?

For that effort, let me just say - as a former McCain '00 donor - Thank You John McCain!


http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/2008/10/obama-v-mccain-whos-got-the-at.php
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:29 AM
Response to Original message
1. Just call him "B.A. Barackus"
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:34 AM
Response to Original message
2. from Economists for Obama: Obama's list
http://econ4obama.blogspot.com/2008/06/obama-economic-advisors-and-economic.html

The List: Obama's Economists
We've mentioned these before in individual posts. Here's a unified list:

Economic policy advisors:
Jason Furman (director of economic policy) source bio
Austan Goolsbee (senior economic policy advisor), University of Chicago tax policy expert source Wikipedia website
Karen Kornbluh (policy director) source bio Wikipedia
David Cutler, Harvard health policy expert source Wikipedia website
Jeff Liebman, Harvard welfare expert source Wikipedia website
Michael Froman, Citigroup executive source bio
Daniel Tarullo, Georgetown law professor source bio
David Romer, Berkeley macroeconomist source website
Christina Romer, Berkeley economic historian source website
Richard Thaler, University of Chicago behavioral finance expert source Wikipedia

Robert Rubin, former Treasury Secretary source Wikipedia bio
Larry Summers, former Treasury Secretary source Wikipedia bio
Alan Blinder, former Vice-chairman of the Federal Reserve source Wikipedia bio website
Jared Bernstein, Economic Policy Institute labor economist source bio
James Galbraith, University of Texas macroeconomist source Wikipedia website

Paul Volcker, Chairman of the Federal Reserve 1979-1987 source Wikipedia
Laura Tyson, Berkeley international economist, Bill Clinton economic adviser source Wikipedia
Robert Reich, Berkeley public policy professor, former Secretary of Labor source Wikipedia weblog
Peter Henry, Stanford international economist source website
Gene Sperling, former White House economic adviser source Wikipedia

Other prominent economists who support Obama:
Brad Delong, Berkeley macroeconomist source Wikipedia website weblog
Joseph Stiglitz, 2001 Nobel laureate source Wikipedia
Edmund Phelps, 2006 Nobel laureate source Wikipedia
Ray Fair, Yale macroeconomist source Wikipedia
Dan McFadden, 2000 Nobel laureate source website
Robert Solow, 1987 Nobel laureate source Wikipedia

Prominent finance people who support Obama:
(not actually economists)
William Donaldson, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair 2003-05 source Wikipedia
Arthur Levitt, SEC chair 1993-2001 source Wikipedia
David Ruder, SEC chair 1987-1989 source Wikipedia
Warren Buffet, investor, richest person in world source Wikipedia


Updated and revamped 6/9/08 to reflect new announcements and again on 6/28/08, 8/21/08, 8/22/08, and 9/7/08.

Posted by Don Pedro at 8:31 PM



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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-04-08 10:35 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. from Economists for Obama: McCains list
http://econ4obama.blogspot.com/2008/06/other-list-mccains-economists.html

Saturday, June 14, 2008
The Other List: McCain's Economic Advisers
Who are the people who have left McCain confused about his own opinions? Here are his economic advisers mentioned in the press:

Doug Holtz-Eakin source
Holtz-Eakin is a formerly respected academic and government economist who has been reduced to making distortionary arguments to paper over the massive deficit black hole McCain's tax cuts would create.

Arthur Laffer source
Laffer is the originator of the Laffer curve, the fringe view that claims government revenue increases when tax rates are lowered. There is zero empirical evidence this is true at current tax rates. McCain has repeatedly said that he believes this foolishness, but Holtz-Eakin has said (also repeatedly) that McCain does not.

Phil Gramm source
Gramm is a lobbyist who was vice president of one of the investment houses most heavily implicated in the mortage industry scandal. As a senator he pushed for the banking deregulation that contributed to the current crisis. See more here.

Kevin Hassett source
Hassett has been widely ridiculed for writing the book Dow 36000: The New Strategy for Profiting from the Coming Rise in the Stock Market in 1999, predicting that the Dow would hit 36,000 within five years, if not sooner.

Donald Luskin source
Luskin has been repeatedly named the Stupidest Man Alive by Brad Delong. See here for an example. I can attest based on my own interaction with him a few years back that in addition to being not the sharpest tack in the box, he is also an extremely unpleasant person.

Nancy Pfotenhauer source
Pfotenhauer is a pure distilled product of Koch Industries, an oil company which funds much of the right wing message machine. See here for details.

Carly Fiorina source
Fiorina was spectacularly fired from her previous job as CEO of HP. According to the Times,


... Republicans say Ms. Fiorina is using the McCain campaign to rebuild her image after her explosive tenure at Hewlett-Packard. They also say it is hard to see why a woman widely criticized for mismanaging one of Silicon Valley’s legendary companies is advising and representing a candidate who acknowledged last year that he did not understand the economy as well as he should.

Regarding Fiorina, Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, the senior associate dean for executive programs at the Yale School of Management, says "What a blind spot this is in the McCain campaign to have elevated her stature and centrality in this way. You couldn’t pick a worse, non-imprisoned C.E.O. to be your standard-bearer.”

With people like this advising him, it's not surprising that doesn't even know what his own positions are on major questions of economic policy. Admittedly, there's a difficult problem of cause-and-effect here. Is he incoherent because he gets lousy advice, or is it his utter ignorance on economic issues that led him to seek guidance from this crew? As evidence for the latter hypothesis, he has said "The issue of economics is not something I've understood as well as I should," and made similar assertions on many occasions.

See the list of Obama's economists here.

Posted by Don Pedro at 10:03 PM

Labels: advisers, mccain


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