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TRACKING POLL UPDATE: Obama's Lead Keeps Growing (49.9%-42.5%)

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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-03-08 12:34 PM
Original message
TRACKING POLL UPDATE: Obama's Lead Keeps Growing (49.9%-42.5%)
Edited on Fri Oct-03-08 12:35 PM by jefferson_dem
Obama's Lead Keeps Growing In Tracking Polls
from TPM Election Central by Eric Kleefeld

Here's a wrap-up of the four major national tracking polls for today, showing Barack Obama expanding his lead even further:

• Gallup: Obama 49%, McCain 42%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 48%-43% Obama lead yesterday.

• Rasmussen: Obama 51%, McCain 44%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.

• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 48%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.2% margin of error, compared to a 47%-42% Obama lead yesterday.

• Research 2000: Obama 51%, McCain 40%, with a ±3% margin of error, the same as yesterday.

Adding these polls together and weighting them by sample sizes, Obama is ahead 49.9%-42.5%, even wider than his lead yesterday of 49.4%-42.9%.

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/10/obamas_lead_keeps_growing_in_t.php
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marimour Donating Member (696 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-03-08 12:56 PM
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1. do these take into account the debate?
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maseman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-03-08 01:07 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Mostly no
Maybe a little west coast sample for last night but generally no.

The first full post-VP debate poll will be released on Monday.
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