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What will this graph look like after tomorrow night's debate?

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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:04 AM
Original message
What will this graph look like after tomorrow night's debate?
Edited on Wed Oct-01-08 07:05 AM by berni_mccoy

The graph above shows the electoral votes again but omits the "barely" states. The electoral votes of a state only count in this graph if the candidate has a margin of 5% or more over his opponent.

The impact of the first debate is evident.

BTW, the dip in Obama's electoral vote strength during the month of September is what I'm calling the Palin effect. Americans liked seeing the lipstick until they realized what the lipstick was really on.

:rofl:
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ChairmanAgnostic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:07 AM
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1. this is wrong. the WallStreet melt down started far earlier.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:09 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. The MSM coverage of it with respect to the presidential race didn't though. That's the key.
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Richardo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:12 AM
Response to Original message
3. I almost asked what a 'barley' state was
Edited on Wed Oct-01-08 07:13 AM by Richardo
That's a demographic I hadn't heard of ... :blush:

Not enough coffee yet. :donut:
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:13 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. lol, that would be one of those flat states with lots of prairie ;-)
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:16 AM
Response to Original message
5. Waiting For KOS To Update This One Too !!!


:bounce:

:hi:
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VWolf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 07:56 AM
Response to Original message
6. Not much different, for 2 reasons
First, the polls lag by a few days, so any change won't manifest until the middle of next week.

Second, the VP debate rarely affects the presidential polls. I suppose you can make a case that this year is different, since Palin is such a celebrity and McSame is so close to death, but my gut tells me the economic news will have a much bigger effect on the polls. Also, keep in mind that the bar is really, really, REALLY low for Palin. She's have to royally (or literally) screw the pooch on this, dontcha know?
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