http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/09/30/ppp_poll_obama_takes_lead_in_florida.htmlA new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida shows Sen. Barack Obama taking the lead over Sen. John McCain, 49% to 46%.
Key findings: "64% of Floridians surveyed say the economy is their top issue, and Obama has a 55-40 lead with those voters. In a January PPP poll just 26% of voters in the state said they were most concerned with the economy. The events of the last few weeks seem in particular to have helped move independents into the Obama camp. Three weeks ago the candidates were tied, now Obama has a 48-40 advantage with those voters."
One more possible factor: "Sarah Palin's net favorability with Florida voters has dropped 12 points over the last three weeks."
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE September 30, 2008
CONTACT: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312
Obama takes the lead in Florida
Benefiting from increased voter concern over the economy and the
declining popularity of Sarah Palin, Barack Obama has taken a 49-46 lead over John
McCain in Florida. A PPP survey conducted three weeks ago, right after the Republican
convention, showed McCain leading by five points in the state.
64% of poll respondents named the economy as their top issue, and within that group
Obama holds a 55-40 lead. By comparison when PPP asked the same issues question in a
January Florida survey just 26% said their biggest concern was the economy, and
McCain led Obama by six points.
Another factor driving movement in Obama’s direction in Florida is Sarah Palin’s rapidly
declining standing with voters in the state. Right after the convention 45% said they were
more likely to vote for McCain because of her spot on the ticket, compared to 34% who
said they were less likely to do so. Now the number saying Palin makes them more likely
to support McCain has gone down to 40less likely to do so has ticked up to 41%.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Florida_930354.pdf