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Can someone with economic knowledge please fill us in on EXACTLY what is happening

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LibraLiz1973 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:14 PM
Original message
Can someone with economic knowledge please fill us in on EXACTLY what is happening
and what the short and long term ramifications are of this?
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SallyMander Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:15 PM
Response to Original message
1. Word... i'd also like to know how Kucinich voted

??
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mamalone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
2. Totally clueless here...
But I am greatly looking forward to the answers you'll get.
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LibraLiz1973 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. me too!
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
4. Basically, there are too many worthless debts on the books of
major financial institutions.

They have a certain amount of debt that they are holding as assets, stuff owed to them. They origially booked it at 100% of value.

Now, with so many of the debts based on worhtless mortgage contracts, they have to write down those assets which effects that institutions credit rating with other institutions.

So credit is hard to come by.

That means the cost of credit goes up all across the market since there are more people in need of short term loans than there are short term loans available, supply and demand.

Now a lot of businesses rely on short term "bridge" loans to make payroll and inventory obligations. What this does is raise the cost of those loans so high that they are out of the reach of many small businesses and so they have to tap their capital reserves which causes the stock to drop.

That's pretty much it in a nutshell.

Of course it's more complicated when derivitives and bundling are added in, but the bottom line is the availability of credit is vanishing.
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slick8790 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:26 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Good explanation.
I've been trying to explain in simple terms to people I know and this is the best job so far I've seen.
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:27 PM
Original message
Why thank you....
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LibraLiz1973 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:27 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. Thank you for that explanation. I understood it!!!
:wave:
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ejbr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
11. Can I ask a followup?
What about the notion of reducing the bailout from 700 billion to 190 billion like Charles "Mukasey is the best we are gonna get" Schumer suggests until another administration enters the picture?
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. It's beyond that now...
There are just too much worthless paper on the books of too many financial institutions...

I was never convinced that the bill was more than a symbolic gesture to calm the financial markets...
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4lbs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. That's what this latest bill that was just voted down would have done!
It authorized $250 billion immediately.

Then next year, the new President of the U.S. (Obama) can review and authorize another $100 billion.

After that, the final $350 billion is placed under Congressional review, and the Congress votes whether or not to allow the final $350 billion, or even a smaller portion.

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Hope08 Donating Member (108 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:29 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. Excellent explanation
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Hope08 Donating Member (108 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:33 PM
Response to Reply #4
14. By the way . . .
if you want to understand how we got to where we are, check out this link to the "Subprime Primer." It is satirical and uses salty language (you've been warned), but is about the best short explanation I have seen anywhere: http://docs.google.com/TeamPresent?docid=ddp4zq7n_0cdjsr4fn&skipauth=true&pli=1.
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frickaline Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
18. didnt the fed inject the markets with liquidity today for a few of the more major lenders?
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WCGreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:38 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Yes but until those wothless debts are somehow taken off book,
there can really be no final solution.
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PerfectSage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:27 PM
Response to Original message
7. Just another downleg in a bear market that started in January.


The credit markets are seized up. Every bank is hoarding cash and afraid to lend, because one bankruptcy triggers another and/or pushs others closer to bankruptcy. etc etc.
ie a bankruptcy chainreaction.

The long term ramifications are that a credit bubble bigger than 29 is popping. A lot bad debts will never be collected.



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BuyingThyme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:27 PM
Response to Original message
8. Yes, I can tell you with absolute precision.
Uncertainty.
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
9. We're on teh brink of a Depression
That's what's happening.
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:28 PM
Response to Original message
10. We're on the brink of a Depression
That's what's happening.
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ContinentalOp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:32 PM
Response to Original message
13. I don't have a lot of economic knowledge...
but it seems clear to me that today's market crash is understandable, not as something that was predestined to happen but as Wall Street's reaction to the fact that they're not getting $700 billion of free money.

I mean seriously: you say "hey here's a plan to give Wall Street $700 Billion no strings attached. we need to vote on it by Monday." Let the bankers pop champagne corks and get giddy with anticipation, then you expect the market NOT to crash on Monday when the bill doesn't pass?
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
17. The sky just fell. n/t
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Doityourself Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 01:43 PM
Response to Original message
20. We are fucked! All of us! n/t
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