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Edited on Mon Sep-29-08 02:59 AM by prodn2000
For the better part of eighty years, the most reliable investment any bank or institution could make was in a home mortgage. People will pay off the loan that secures their residence.
However, 6-8% is not a great return if you are looking for your stock to rise exponentially. Banks(or any publicly-traded company, for that matter,) want DOUBLE DIGIT revenue and profit growth. How are you going to do that? A 20% 10K credit line? Nope. A 15% 30K auto loan? Nope. You need to somehow generate 10+% revenue on a high-dollar loan(and I am not talking about airplane notes.)
Many thought that home values would never decrease.
Many thought that as long as most people paid their mortgages, there would be no problem.
Many thought that housing was the strongest sector in our economy.
That kind of "conventional wisdom" brought us the mess we are in today. Adjustable-rate mortgages. Option mortgages that had the borrower pay only interest. How in the hell, in an "Ownership Society" do you build equity when you aren't paying a freaking penny towards the principal on the loan that you signed for?
Here is the problem. Home values went down. Countrywide didn't morph into ReMax. The lenders couldn't sell the homes that they had foreclosed on at a profit. Whoops!
Lenders that played the capital "musical chairs" game got stuck. How were they going to deliver DOUBLE DIGIT increases in revenue when they were actually losing money by not being prepared to sell homes that they had foreclosed on?
Lenders, in an attempt to free up capital, AND TO MAKE DOUBLE DIGIT ROI, created and utilized MBSs or mortgage-backed securities. Home loans were bundled, good and bad, and sold as securities. And when those securities go bad...
Wall Street freaks out, and here we are.
CEOs, Boards of Directors, and fat-cat "inside" investors wanted to make tech-type returns on the previously "safe" financial sector stocks.
The point here, is that the banks were counting on making profits from foreclosed homes. Oops.
Please K/R if you think this is a good explanation of the problems that triggered the "meltdown" and pending legislation.
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