Will McCain Campaign Throw Sarah Palin Under the Bus???

[Pisces]

I believe they will leak a scandal ie. the affair, free gifts, or troopergate. She will be forced to step down due to her own actions thereby clearing McCain of throwing her overboard.

McCain will then pick Huckabee, who is a fundie and is already vetted.

Changing her out for Huckabee will dominate the news cycle and McCain will not care that he personally ruined Palin. I hope she is watching her back. I know Rove has the goods on her and he will release the info if it is needed.

Call me a consipiracy theorists but that's how I see it going down, especially with McCain's poll numbers continuing to decline. He needs another gamechanger.

[madaboutharry]

1. If he does this it will shine a light on

his poor judgment and recklessness in choosing her in the first place.

I think there is a overwhelming buyers' remorse. Any way you look at it, he is screwed.

[Pisces]

3. Yes, there will be some questions on his judgement. McCain likes to gamble but he

will leave the table if he is losing too much. That is why I think they will leak evidence of the affair or troopergate to ruin her in the eyes of his base. He will then replace her with another acceptable fundie. I see Rove all over this move. They don't care if they ruin her. If he replaces her, this is the only way it happens.

[adamuu]

13. He is comfortable with the consequences, but what about us?!!?!? n/t

[Ian David]

2. Not Huckabee. Chuck Norris. n/t

[cags]

4. Not if they are planning appearances for her on SNL... shes not out

[sunnybrook]

25. That can easily be cancelled

Just ask David Letterman!

[Realityhack]

5. No. I don't think so.

I think that would cost him the election in a heartbeat. I don't buy it.

[Native]

6. But if it is clear he's already lost, then he has nothing to lose by dumping her,

and I'm sure they'll spin it so the faux reason is something they could never have foreseen. As long as the replacement is fundified and the "reason" doesn't call into question McCain's judgment, what's to lose?

[lamp_shade]

7. I agree. He'd have nothing to lose because his boat just

ain't gonna float until he throws her overboard.

[Realityhack]

12. Well two problems there...

First off I don't think it is clear he has already lost.
Secondly unfortunately she has been a boon to his campaign. We like to make fun of her here, but she boosted his numbers where they wanted her to IMO.

Also IMO even a family crisis would call into question his judgment. I don't think their is any way out for him even if he was looking for one.

[FatDave]

28. She *was* a boon to his campaign when she was an unkown.

As days go by it gets harder to hide her idiocy and she is becoming a major liability. Since 9/11 her net favorable/unfavorable rating has gone from +17 to -8 (according to Kos/R2K poll). She's tanking horribly and word leaked from the McCain campaign is that her debate prep is going astoundingly bad. I'm not sure if they can afford to have her out in an environment as uncontrolled as a live nationally televised debate.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

19. McCain has nothing to lose...

But the schism that would open up in the Republican Party would be irreparable. Sarah is God's Annointed, and the snake-handler wing of the GOP would be furious that he subjected her to that kind of humiliation. They would either stay home or vote for Barr.

And I'm not sure Mike Huckabee (who's probably thinking about 2012 or beyond) would be willing to be a sacrificial lamb, particuarly when it's purely for appearance sake.

[sunnybrook]

24. Yes he has shown he is willing to make high stakes gambles

and he just loves to dominate the news cycle with nonsense... think it could be Guiliani though... the fundies are not going to get him elected

[City Lights]

8. The only thing that gets her off the ticket is a family crisis.

Something happening to Bristol, or something with Trig. All other scenarios show poor judgment on McNasty's part. In addition to his poor judgment being exposed, The Big Dipper's followers would be furious at him for not remaining loyal to her and pulling out the stops to protect her. A family matter arising is the only perfect out, IMHO.

Next week will be interesting. :popcorn: :beer:

[Native]

18. game changer - if the SNL rumors are true,

. . . I'm inclined to think they're going to keep her around. I think this is something she'll be able to pull off very well, and, if she pokes fun at herself, it could help to temper her poor performances up to this point.
Another Hail Mary IMO - assuming the rumor is true.

[sunnybrook]

26. they can easily concoct a crisis

a medical emergency with Trig, confirmed by their doctor friend...

[crazy_vanilla]

9. no, too late now n/t

[crazy_vanilla]

10. no, too late now n/t

[sunnybrook]

27. that's conventional wisdom

McCain and his impulsiveness is starting to make Ross Perot look steady and predictable

[Arugula Latte]

11. Throw her under the snow machine. Run over. Back up. Repeat.

[sufrommich]

14. He loses the right wing base if he does. It would be political

suicide and he knows it.

[FatDave]

29. But if she blows the debate, he loses everybody else.

What's a poor old POW to do?

[Doremus]

15. Not gonna happen. First, McPain can't just pick another VP.

Now that the convention is over he's not free to change VPs like underwear. The party would have to approve his choice, a process that could get dicey and with the election so near I don't know that there would be time.

Second, some states are already into early voting, i.e. McCain/Palin have already gleaned votes. Would the ballots be legitimate if the ticket changes? I don't know but potentially it's a legal quagmire.

[subterranean]

16. If he does it, it'll be before the debate

McCain might decide he's better off replacing Palin with someone like Giuliani or Lieberman. They wouldn't help his popularity, but at least they can do a debate and give semi-coherent responses to unscripted questions. But I don't think Huckabee or Romney would take the job at this point. Why would they want to get on board a sinking ship?

[briv1016]

17. McCain doesn't need another enemy.

Especially one that was exposed to is inner circle and knows his dirt.

[polichick]

20. Her family will need her - maybe the "pregnant" daughter will have that miscarriage now.

[sammytko]

21. i think you are right, but it will be Rudy G. nt

[No Elephants]

22. He may put in Romney, even though tried and true neo theos don't like Mormons.

[symbolman]

23. Oh PLEASE put Romney in there, Please..

I can't wait to make a flash attack ad about how the Mormons are the Largest purveyor of PORN in their Hotels than all the porn shops combined..

They LOVE that Porn, those mormon hotel owners :)

[barack the house]

30. No, doubt it he will stick to his guns as republicans do.

[Native]

31. you mean "used" to do.