Pew Poll: Obama running better in MW, West, among younger voters and women than Kerry in '04

[WI_DEM]

Age - Obama is running even better among voters under 30 years of age than did Kerry, who led Bush by 54% to 45% among voters younger than 30, according to 2004 national exit polls. Obama currently leads by 60% to 31% among this group.

Region - Compared with Kerry, Obama is running better in the Midwest and the West. Obama holds a small lead among Midwestern voters (48%-40%); four years ago, Bush narrowly carried voters in this region (51%-48%). Obama has a narrow edge in the West (51%-43%); in 2004, the West divided its votes nearly evenly between Bush and Kerry.

Gender - The gender gap is slightly larger today than it was four years ago on Election Day. McCain holds an eight-point lead among men but trails among women by 10 points. Bush beat Kerry by 11 points among men and trailed Kerry by three points among women. However, McCain holds a 48% to 41 lead over Obama among white women, who also backed President Bush over John Kerry - 55% to 44%.

Religion - McCain's support among white evangelical Protestants, a key Republican voter group, has inched up to 71% (Obama is supported by 21% of evangelicals). Based only on voters who express a preference between the two candidates, McCain's lead among evangelicals (77%-23%) is comparable to Bush's final margin among this group (78%-21%). McCain has a small edge among white Catholic voters, 48% to 41%. He also holds a clear lead among white Catholics who attend Mass at least weekly (52% McCain vs. 36% Obama). Four years ago, Bush beat Kerry 61% to 39% among this group.
http://people-press.org/report/450/presidential-race-remains-even

[Teaser]

1. This level of outperforming Kerry = WIN.

.

[pansypoo53219]

2. of course.

kerry SUCKED.

[WI_DEM]

4. I wouldn't say that.

[WindRiverMan]

7. No, that is harsh, but let's be honest, if Kerry would have gotten angry

like he was at the Convention, and challenged champagne unit Bush on HIS military record, Kerry would have won. He took the old, "Your statement is so ridiculous it is not worthy of my time" approach, and he got whipped like an old dog for it. Kerry refused to stand up for himself when he really needed to do it.

[politicasista]

8. If the surrogates would have done for Kerry like Kerry and others are doing for Obama

instead of sitting on the sidelines getting hammered by the right leaning pundits/surrogates, things might be different. If you didn't have or see C-SPAN, you would see the filtered media soundbites/spin.

I think you are also letting Dems and the media off the hook, but I see it's more convenient now for everyone to blame ONLY Kerry, especially if it means praising Obama, which does not IMO.

The media protected Bush 90% of the time. Kerry's rallies, speeches, respones got NO coverage.

The media is now protecting McBush 75% of the time. Obama's speeches, rallies, rebuttals ARE getting coverage.

[Arugula Latte]

3. 51% to 43% lead in the West for Obama is "narrow"?

Strange choice of adjective.

[WI_DEM]

5. I know. 8-points is actually pretty big.

[Arugula Latte]

6. Yep. And we'll take it.

Good article, though. Pretty encouraging. :)