Pew National Poll: Obama: 46 McCain 44 (good comparison of Obama strength vs. Kerry)

[WI_DEM]

but note this survey was just relesed today, but conducted Sept 9-14, before the economic news of Monday.

voters.
5
Voting Blocs: Then and Now
There are a few demographic groups that stand out in the current race when compared
with the 2004 election. Yet most of the patterns of support for Obama and McCain reflect longstanding
trends in voting behavior:
Age – Obama is running even better among voters under 30 years of age than did Kerry, who led
Bush by 54% to 45% among voters younger than 30, according to 2004 national exit polls.
Obama currently leads by 60% to 31% among this group.
Region – Compared with Kerry, Obama is running better in the Midwest and the West. Obama
holds a small lead among Midwestern voters (48%-40%); four years ago, Bush narrowly carried
voters in this region (51%-48%). Obama has a narrow edge in the West (51%-43%); in 2004, the
West divided its votes nearly evenly between Bush and Kerry.
Gender – The gender gap is slightly larger today than it was four years ago on Election Day.
McCain holds an eight-point lead among men but trails among women by 10 points. Bush beat
Kerry by 11 points among men and trailed Kerry by three points among women. However,
McCain holds a 48% to 41 lead over Obama among white women, who also backed President
Bush over John Kerry – 55% to 44%.
Religion – McCain’s support among white evangelical Protestants, a key Republican voter
group, has inched up to 71% (Obama is supported by 21% of evangelicals). Based only on voters
who express a preference between the two candidates, McCain’s lead among evangelicals (77%-
23%) is comparable to Bush’s final margin among this group (78%-21%). McCain has a small
edge among white Catholic voters, 48% to 41%. He also holds a clear lead among white
Catholics who attend Mass at least weekly (52% McCain vs. 36% Obama). Four years ago, Bush
beat Kerry 61% to 39% among this group.
Race – White voters support McCain over Obama by a margin of 52%-38%, unchanged from
August. Obama’s large lead among black voters (89%-5%) is also unchanged from

http://people-press.org/reports/pdf/450.pdf

[melody]

1. Excellent find -- thanks for posting it n/t