GALLUP TRACKING: Obama 48 (+1), McWalkingCane 44 (-1)

[jefferson_dem]

September 18, 2008
Gallup Daily: Obama 48%, McCain 44%Marks Obama’s first statistically significant lead in two weeksUSA Election 2008 Gallup Daily Americas Northern America PRINCETON, NJ -- The Sept. 15-17 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows Barack Obama with a 48% to 44% lead over John McCain among registered voters, marking the first time that Obama has held a statistically significant lead in two weeks.



The presidential race has essentially devolved back to a structure very similar to what pertained throughout the months of June and July, during which time Obama consistently averaged a three percentage point lead over McCain. There have been fairly significant shifts over the last several weeks, including periods of time in and around the conventions during which both Obama and McCain established leads, and times when the race was essentially tied. But beginning this week, it appears the voters have settled, for the moment, back into the familiar pattern in which the race remains close with a slight tilt towards Obama.

Separate Gallup tracking shows that consumer confidence has become significantly more negative as this week progressed, signifying that Americans are clearly paying attention to the major problems facing Wall Street and the big drops in the stock market on Monday and Wednesday. It is not possible to determine precisely how much of Obama's gain this week may have been directly caused by Americans' reactions to the economic stories dominating news coverage in newspapers, television, and on the Internet, although this is a plausible explanation. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.) -- Frank Newport

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110473/Gallup-Daily-Obama-48-McCain-44.aspx

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. The Polls Converge(th)

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[jefferson_dem]

2. They do.

I wonder how long Scottie (The Tool) Rasmussen can pretend the race leans McWalkingCane (DSB, 2008) or is tied.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. Or How Long The Tarrance Group(Battleground Poll) Can Pretend McSame Is Ahead

Here's my e-mail to Real Clear Politics


If you are going to carry a "Republican" tracking poll (Battleground Poll/Tarrance Group)* it behooves you to carry the "Democratic" tracking poll commissioned by the Daily Kos and conducted by Research 2000:

http://www.dailykos.com/

* I know the Battleground poll is supposed to be a bipartisan poll but I only see the Republican polling company, The Tarrance Group listed.

Thank you.

Brian

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. BTW, I Picked Up McWalkingCane From A ESPN Poster

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[debbierlus]

3. And, this with skewing the polls towards the Republicans - I wonder what the real number is...

[alcibiades_mystery]

6. Ouchies...that's the same as many others

Freepers growing unhinged...