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Obama up in new Michigan and New Hampshire polls down in Missouri and Va

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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:04 PM
Original message
Obama up in new Michigan and New Hampshire polls down in Missouri and Va
Edited on Wed Sep-10-08 03:07 PM by jezebel
New Hampshire Obama 51- 45
Michigan Obama 49- 45
Missouri McCain 50-45
Virginia McCain 50-46

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/09/10/a-call-to-arms-in-the-battlegrounds/
A Call To Arms In The Battlegrounds
Posted: 04:00 PM ET

From CNN American Morning Host John Roberts


To see CNN's entire electoral map visit CNN.com.
(CNN) – Sure, the national polls are fun to look at — but as any political junkie will tell you, they’re only a broad-brush snapshot of voter sentiment. We don’t choose a president based on a national vote (much to Al Gore’s chagrin). It’s all about the state-by-state battle for the Electoral College. There are 50 states in the union, but at present CNN Politics lists only 8 as tossups: Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Missouri, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado and Nevada. Those are the states that will decide the election, and within those states, a small slice of voters will likely turn the tide.

New CNN/Opinion Research Corporation polls just out give us a snapshot of four of those states. In Michigan, polls suggest Obama has a 4 point edge with 49 percent of voter preference. In New Hampshire, he has a 6 point advantage at 51 percent, while McCain has a 4 point edge in Virginia and 5 point advantage in Missouri, with 50 percent of the vote in both states. So if the election were held today, Obama would claim 21 electoral votes, McCain 24 and put the national count at 264 – 213 in favor of Obama, with four states still up for grabs.

There are some commonalities between the states in terms of issues, but each also has its own signature concerns. And here’s where you come in. Every day for the next 8 days on American Morning, we’re going to take a state-specific look at the issues affecting voters in the battlegrounds. We’ll be joined by radio talk show hosts from each swing state – people with their fingers on the pulse of the electorate - and let them field questions of importance to our viewers.

So here’s where you come in. If you live in the battlegrounds, e-mail us about the issue that affects you most. Go to www.cnn.com/AM and follow the links to submit your question. To help us sift through them all, please put your state at the beginning in the “message” box.

So – calling all voters in the battlegrounds! This is your latest chance to be heard on CNN — part of our continuing commitment to bring you the information you need to make an informed choice on November 4.

Filed under: American Morning

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:06 PM
Response to Original message
1. Glad about NH and MI, and I think we can still pull VA
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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:08 PM
Response to Original message
2. Not bad.
It's much more important to hold MI and NH than to win either VA or MO, despite the EV's.

Because there are plenty of other opportunities to get to 270.
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tedoll78 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:09 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Yup.
Looks like the Gore states are still holding firm. Note also that these polls were taken during the PEAK of McCain's post-convention polling.

I feel pretty good about this. :)
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:10 PM
Response to Original message
4. Obama is going to need a huge turnout in St Louis to win Missouri
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Cosmocat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
8. I have never had a good feeling about Missouri ...
it is in the Illinois power zone, so he might actually think he can win, but IMO, more than anything, campaigning Missouri will in the end be about making McCain defend it.

IMO, Michigan is the key hold state - BIG sigh of relief that the horned out loon picked Palin over Romney. I still think if he holds Michigan than he will have held all the Kerry states.

I had bagged on NH initially, but IMO the poling has been good for BO, and if I had to bet one way or another, I would put my money on BO.

Va is the brass ring - the true campaign ender IF BO can get it. If I had to bet, I probably would go with McCain, but we are talking 50.2 to 49.8 in my eyes.
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Skwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:13 PM
Response to Original message
5. There have been a lot of negative ads in VA.
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On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
6. I'll Take That Trade
MI and NH would just about do it. MO and VA are nice but unecessary.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. For coming off the Republican convention this is a strong position.
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MidwestTransplant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-10-08 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
9. This election very well may come down to Colorado and IA.
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