Preview of Palin's acceptance speech tonight.

[Bucky]

Governor Palin will not talk too much about issues tonight. Thanks to the rumor mongers and the rampant misogynistic attacks on her by the National Inquirer and the liberal blogosphere (God, I hate the company) she gets a big fat pitch in the strike zone tonight. Rather than having to defend her paper thin resume or dodge her extremist positions as one of the Union's wingnuttiest governors (slashing funds for special education, promoting ecosystem-destroying hunting laws, favoring teaching Creationism, opposing sex education, chasing pork barrel moneys), she gets to concentrate her speech on defending her family's honor. It will be near impossible to not hit it out of the ballpark.

On Fox, Bill Kristol will use the phrase "hit it out of the ballpark" at least two times.

She'll defend herself tonight. She'll mention her daughter's right to privacy and she'll get a standing ovation. TV commentators will say she's "winning over the moms of America" by standing up against those who are verbally attacking her daughter. Obama, who started the whole "kids are off limits" talk this year will get none of the credit.

She'll say, "my daughter made a mistake, but I'm proud of her for standing up to these personal attacks that liberals engage in" and TV commentators will say, "She's showing real backbone; she's a fighter. Americans always love a fighter."

No one on TV will say, "You know, Wolf, she didn't defend herself on the charges in troopergate" or "Tom, the governor just dodged any mention of her role in the Bridge to Nowhere." The subject of teen sex entered the national debate and the governor's job tonight magically got a whole lot easier. Her idiotic education policies will not be mentioned by her or by her network reviewers. Every time she says "family values" Will Pitt will take a shot.

Palin will say something about the scurrilous rumors being bandied about by the "smear artists on the Left" (and like a good Republican, she will say this without any shame) and declare something hokey and generally warmhearted about her husband. She'll get another standing ovation. Then she'll ask her kids (Brill, Torque, and Thatch) to stand up and there will be another standing ovation.

She'll tie the anti-abortion section in her speech to her daughter's choice. She'll mention "fighting for families" in a section of the speech that doesn't mention what she's done to Alaska's education budget. No one will mention this irony. It's not as interesting at teenaged sex stories.

She won't mention torture and her talk on the Global War on Terror will be strictly boiler plate. She'll say something like "Democrats don't get it." She'll be very general when she mentions freedom overseas. She'll probably avoid the phrase "on the march" when mentioning freedom. She will remind us that she's been to see our troops and support them. Then she'll mention her son, Jogg Palin, but this time she won't give away his unit assignment or date of deployment, cause that shit just ain't cool.

The part of her speech on foreign policy will be very short--on words and on specifics. No commentators will point this out. She will mention Bush directly once and only once. She won't mention Dick Cheney at all. This might be pointed out in passing, but that's not the lead on the story tomorrow.

The lead will be this: She'll get credit for doing a fantastic job. Commentators will go overboard praising her for turning her family's problems into rallying cry for Everywoman. They will fawn in unison. She'll be a fighting mom. She'll have "killed the murmurs in the convention that she's not up to the job." She will have "won over the party" with her fighting spirit. Nothing inspires Americans more than a mom fighting for family. She will have "ended any doubt that she's ready for this election". No one will talk about "but is she ready to step into McCain's shoes" for another month.

That's the narrative for the next 24 hours. She'll get credit for the bump. No, not that "bump", you sicko, I mean the bump in the polls.

[stolivodka]

1. brilliant

..because opening on the defensive is the true path to victory!

Already, the Repukes lose on issues.. that's a given. Now, they are even failing at mudfights and tabloid politics!

Methinks that all the brains in the GOP outfit were purged by Bush and his minions. Too bad, too sad. A tissue for them, I humbly offer!

[Bucky]

9. What's galling is ...

... how much she has been helped in making a "great speech" by the rumor mongering by Democrats and those on liberal sites pretending to be Democrats. Liberal blogs and the National Inquirer have abetted her low-bar criterion for a "great speech" by focusing on ridiculous rumors and out of bounds family topics.

With all the corruption and bad policies coming out of Alaska, the idiots spouting "But, but, but they do it to us... Fight fire with fire!" have pushed the bar so low that she only has to defend her daughter's honor and she's an instant hero to the right wing spinmasters.

[stolivodka]

17. taking the high road

The fact is, they were ready for attacks against her experience with the "She has more executive experience than Obama/Biden combined!" BS talking point. All these scandals, though, they clearly weren't ready for. For years, sliming your opponent has been the exclusive weapon of Republicans, and I promise you, we wouldn't be seeing this complete PR meltdown going on in the McCain campaign, if not for the "liberal bloggers" and others provoking old man McCain into making an ass of himself and running out on Softball Larry.

I would love it if politics was just about the issues. It isn't, though. For far too long, Democrats have only been playing half of the game, and I say that it's high time that we send in some hatchetmen to tear those jerks a new one while our actual candidates stay high and dry by denouncing them.

It's far better to be in power and keep those psychos out of power than to sit on the sidelines, locked out of committee meetings, on the side of angels. Losing sucks, and that whole "We're better than that" meme has made Democrats losers in the last 7 out of 10 elections. I respect your stance, and held it myself during 2000 and 2004. It's just that, well, I got sick of us always losing.

[BanTheGOP]

42. CONSIDER ME ONE WITH THE HATCHET BLADE...

...as the entire Palin episode will not only blow up in the Repuke's faces, but with a legacy of corruption that would make Richard Nixon seem like a choir boy, the ENTIRE republican party will be hard-plussed to gain ANY momentum. I will be blogging with complete impunity, and I have no qualms about any names I call Palin, her husband, OR her kids. They ALL are fair game, and ALL will pay, and pay, and pay when we get done with the blogging bludgeonry.

With all this crap, she STILL will have a lot of crap to hide, but the bottom line: if she's even still GOVERNOR after all this is done, then the entire state of Alaska should just be given back to the Russians. If somehow she gets out of this unscathed, and the Repukes somehow are able to keep the democratic vote purlality down to the point where they can invalidate enought votes to steal the election, the Seward's Folly will have proven itself, 100 years later, from the time we stole Alaska from the Inuits and the Canadians, not to mention the Russians.

[Bucky]

48. So. . . .. .. looking over my "prediction" . . . . How close was my call?

Because I read too much DU, I underestimated how aggressive she would be. Because I forgot she'd be sequestered in a hotel room with the GOP's top prep teams, I guessed she's spend more time responding to attacks on her family than attacking Obama. Once inside their own echo chamber, the Republican attack machine quickly sloughs off any facts they find inconvenient. She hit harder on the Republican classic hits from the past, despite their untruthfullness, like "high tax" and (with apparently no shame at all) "big spender" and "elitist".

Curiously, the biggest applause lines seem to be directed at the press.

I predicted Bill Kristol would call her speech a "homerun" but in fact it was Wolf Blitzer who first uttered that phrase within seconds of the ending of Palin's speech. But the press reports up front were just as fawning and just as free of ignoring all the stuff she didn't mention as I predicted. The phrase "a star was born tonight" was repeated with no apparent sarcasm by a few commentators.

Okay, I'll buy that. I agree she's a "star" in the GOP firmament for at least another month. But.... is she a rock star?

[Pale Blue Dot]

2. Yeah, this will work for them.

:rofl:

[Bucky]

15. Heh. The talking heads are practically working for them too.

In the long run, the Republicans did themselves a huge favor moving their convention up a week. They did stall out part of Obama's bump--kept it down to 6-8 points. The next two nights may well put them ahead in the polls.

[Pale Blue Dot]

22. ...

:rofl:

[Bucky]

26. Question: how should a candidate ALWAYS run

Answer: like you're two points behind in the polls.

[SissyBoy]

21. Let Her Have Her Night, There Will Be Enough Time

to take care of this dingaling. Trust me Obama is no punk and he can play hardball if he has to. Just remember in 2004, Jack Ryan's sealed divorce records were unsealed in 2004, causing Ryan to drop out of the race. Later, when Ryan was replaced on the ticket by by Alan Keyes, his teenaged daughter Maya was outed as a homosexual.

Trust me there will be enough time to expose Sarah Palin and Palin's family prior to the election.

Let her have her night. It will be all that she will have.

[Jazzgirl]

31. Fuck her.

n/t

[Bucky]

35. You go, Shakespeare!

[JimDandy]

3. I'll check in later with your score card. n/t

[Bucky]

12. It all ends up in my FBI file, I'm sure.

It's getting so's a fella can't even burn a flag in peace anymore.

[kestrel91316]

4. I predict she has an emotional meltdown halfway through because

she knows we already know about her affair. And she's gonna look at that half-empty hall, and she's gonna realize her very short, tenuous political career has flamed out.

[Bucky]

5. I see your 2 bits and raise you 4: (No meltdown AND the affair story is a dud)

I'd put dollars to donuts that, true or not, whoever she's accused of cavorting with will swiftly decry, denounce, & deny it and no corroboration will come forth (except the usual bullshit circumstantial evidence that DUers always claim "prove" her guilt).

[secondwind]

6. Well said, and sooo accurate

K&R

[Bucky]

11. Thanks. The bullshit always follows the same pattern.

The lack of original thought in the media is almost as tiresome as the predictable babble from the Right

[sandnsea]

7. She wants to force your daughter to carry the child

of a rapist. Even if it threatens the health of your daughter.

Checkmate.

[Bucky]

8. Yep, that's another thing no one will bring up in post-speech spin.

There won't be any checkmating tonight. She's going to get credited with "changing the game". Every time Wolf says "game-changer" you have to take a sip of Drambuie.

[kwolf68]

10. Brilliant

After tonights speech I'd like to compare what Bucky typed here with what really happened.

I betcha he gets damned close...DAMNED close.

[Bucky]

34. Bookmarked

Great, now reputation is on the line.

[mnhtnbb]

13. Except nobody's going to be listening to her. There will be no bump in the polls.

[SemperEadem]

14. you're right... and you know what?

let her skip that--and let her face Joe Biden in a one on one debate on the issues, especially foreign policy issues and the number of times she's flown overseas in the past 8 years and how many foreign leaders she's personally met.

Sarah Palin is the Titanic in a skirt, lipstick and up-do.

by the way, excellent posting.

[Bucky]

16. Thank you. I'm looking forward to the Biden debate, too.

Nominating her has assured a bigger audience than any qualified candidate could get.

[keroro gunsou]

40. one small problem

as i stated on another thread... yes, in a face to face debate, biden will destroy her, kill her family and friends, burn their homes to the ground and salt the earth. having said that, the press will spin at as a mean old joe biden picking on poor little sarah palin... she's new to this whole political game, he should have been nicer... you know the rest.

it's gonna be amusing watching her go down... so to speak.

[SemperEadem]

47. yeah, I know

but too bad. She launched the official salvo this evening with that speech--all bets are off and the gloves have been taken off. She clearly wants "some of this".

She is also the monkey who climbed the pole: she can't now complain that things are getting thrown at her. Is she a woman or is she a whining child? Is she going to whine if Iran tells her to drape herself and go take care of her children? She she going to have fits when China talks back to her? If this is the way she handles things, she's not VP material.

If she can't handle it, then she doesn't belong on the national stage. She belongs in Alaska trying to figure out how she's going to avoid prison for ethics violation and abuse of power.

[jmowreader]

18. Will Pitt will die of alcohol poisoning tonight?

Bummer. I always liked him.

Farewell, Mr. Pitt, you were one of the good ones.

[Bucky]

19. I don't know Will Pitt, but the impression I get is that he doesn't spend much time under the table

except when he's bending down to pick up whoever it is he's drunk under there.

[Wetzelbill]

41. Hmmm..... I might have a challenger.

I am Blackfeet and German, you know? Sort of makes me a drinking machine, although I have been in semi-retirement for a few years. :P

[RedSpartan]

20. One of the best posts I've read in a long time.

You're absolutely spot-on, and you know what? How pathetic is for the GOP and the press that we can accurately predict these events?

[Bucky]

33. TY, Red.

They could at least think up a few new lies to earn those big paychecks.

[Hardrada]

23. Whatever it is she will talk about, she will choke up and get

a bit "verklemmt" since that is what fundie speakers are good at. Our hearts will all melt I am sure.

[Bucky]

36. Maybe. Too much emotion could backfire on the "fightin' hockey mom" image she needs

I'm sure she's been drilled on how to dial up and dial down the emotion to fit the marketing department's needs.

[mzmolly]

24. Nevermind, I just read your entire post.

OOPS. I thought you had the actual snippets. LOL

[Bucky]

29. Nope. They *are* actual....

but they aren't "snippets".

[meow2u3]

25. It's easy to "hit it out of the park" when they pushed the fence in 300 feet

She will actually hit a popup into short right field and they'll call it a home run.

[mvd]

27. Oh, it will have the talking points down

It will SOUND good, so people like Matthews will likely fall over it. But it also will lack substance and can't hold off the fact she wasn't vetted well. Many women will feel pandered to. Only the most ardent McCain supporters and fundies will be thrilled.

[Bucky]

30. I agree. Perfectly stated.

Sadly, "the most ardent McCain supporters and fundies" tend to work in front of the news cameras.

[Captiosus]

28. What angers me

is the fact that the media, regardless of bias, is gushing all over Palin. Which seems to be exactly what McCain wanted. Ignore the issues, ignore the fact that he voted 95% with Bush, but look at my eye candy and she's a young female with a family!

And they're all eating it up. Fox, CNN, MSNBC, all of them. Nevermind the fact that anyone can look at public documents that prove Palin is nothing like she's being portrayed to be. Nevermind the fact that her supposed aversion to earmarks landed Wasilla on McCain's own pork barrel report. Nope, don't pay attention to the man behind the curtain, look at the woman I nominated.

This leaves it up to us to show tell people that Palin is not only unqualified but is "business as usual" for the GOP. My mom was an undecided voter - and by that I mean she was undecided as to whether she was going to vote for Obama or not vote at all. After presenting her with all the information I've gotten about Palin since Friday, my mom has decided to solidly vote for Obama.

[Bucky]

32. Thank you.

And the best way for us to show & tell people the truth about this Vice Disaster Waiting to Happen is the quit talking about her sex life and her daughter's sex life and start talking about the real issues. Attacking her family is only helping the Republicans play the most undeserved victim card in history.

[Captiosus]

37. Agreed.

I haven't spoken of Bristol Palin outside of these forums since the day of the announcement. I limit my criticisms about that issue to forums like here where we can rant about it amongst ourselves. It has no place in an argument in the general public and wouldn't do much to bring independent voters over to Obama.

On one of the forums I frequent - which, admittedly, is more about gaming than politics, but we've been discussing Palin since Friday - I posted a long, cross referenced post on her policies while Mayor and Governor in a "Myth:/Fact:" format. I'm keeping it handy to keep it updated (for example, I need to update McCain's pork list and her special ed education funding).

[Wetzelbill]

38. The echo chamber will love it

But the base is fired up already, and I don't buy that they hated McCain so much that they wouldn't vote for him this November. McCain will peak on his GOP support Friday-Monday. She'll rally the base some, but then Monday and all next week, it's back to all her scandals and problems again.

The key demographic she needed to get, women, I just don't see them going McCain's way because of her. The biggest problem is they are targeting Hillary supporters, and most would rather saw their arms off than vote for somebody who would ratfuck the Supreme Court like McCain would.

So I think the pundits and the status quo echo chamber will like it, but I doubt they do more than speak to the choir at this point. And any gain she can make for McCain from a 30 minutes speech, should be nullified by a few months of her scandals and McCain's gaffes. Biden will win a debate, she'll exceed expectations, but it won't do much. And Obama will beat McCain in the debates, and look dynamic just standing on stage with him. I just don't see her speech tonight making much of a difference. I think it helps her in the short term, but like last week when people felt she was a compelling choice, cold hard reality will creep in again and she'll start going downhill again.

[krabigirl]

39. Then she'll be on the cover of the Enquirer in the morning, next to David Duchovny. lol

BTW, I hate that she thinks she can speak for "all moms." YUCK.

[Dystopian]

43. Thank you! k&r

I'm so glad I logged on before her spew....
This makes it more interesting...great job!
:thumbsup:



peace~

[Captiosus]

44. My lord...

5 minutes into the speech she's:
- Invoked 9/11 (her son is magically deploying on Sept. 11th!)
- Used all of her kids as political props
- And is kissing the ass of parents of special needs children (time for the issues to bite her on the ass).

[mojowork_n]

45. It's the "Enquirer," and I thought DU *was* the lib blogosphere?

Is it too much to ask for a graphic? Some sort of online cartography, or cosmography, illustrating the spectrum of blogospheres, with the proper place of the "liberal blogosphere" highlighted in blue?

Huh?

[Bucky]

46. Huh?

Wha-?

[torbird]

49. Hate to be an after-the-fact hater

But, you could not BE more wrong in your "prediction"!

Palin didn't do ANY of these things last night. Oops!

Turns out, she and her new man, John McCain, and all his speechwriters, are exactly as stupid as we thought thus far!!

Did you really believe that, with the silence coming from her party and the media on this "issue" of the left beating up on her because of her bad parenting, that she would really turn the spotlight on herself like that? You must have been high. Republicans don't play the victim, they only think about attacking. And attack she did, though in a completely off-putting, empty, and silly way -- hey, why don't you piss off some people who have the ability to organize entire communities against you and your running mate? You know, people like community organizers!!


McCain-Palin: Complete Mess.

PS-if you ever want to predict what a Republican will do, just imagine the most hateful thing they could say that would also make them look really callous and stupid, and voila!

[JimDandy]

50. I wonder if COMMUNITY LEADER would be a better term for Obama to use.

He was a Community Leader in the 90s and currently he is leading, as you say, communities all over America to organize against Mc/Failin. No? Yes?