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Palin selling off a bit on Intrade

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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 07:45 AM
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Palin selling off a bit on Intrade
97.2 -1.3

It's more of an arbitrage situation... You'd think 4 days to settle it would hold or move up as the days pass, but I'm guessing there's some nervousness about Grandma-gate.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 07:47 AM
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1. Describe *in detail* the risk-free profit opportunity please?
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TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 08:03 AM
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2. it's 97.2 to earn 100 by wednesday
when she'd officially be the nominee... unless the convention is PPD. Even if you believe grandma-gate, there's a likely chance it wouldn't unravel by Wednesday, so the trade would expire and Palin bettors would get paid. Some are exiting just in case since it's there's little to gain and a lot to lose. The 1.0 on Ridge or Romney, or Kay Bailey seem tempting.
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 08:03 AM
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3. There's risk in that. It's not arbitrage.
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