If Kerry is 6-10 points behind in the polls, after the Convention, what ..

[kentuck]

should he do? Should he be more aggressive and negative toward George W Bush? Or should he continue his present strategy, believing the polls are only temporary, and work hard to get his polls above Bush's...?? Or should he develop an entirely new strategy?

My opinion is that he is doing quite well. I would not pay that much attention to polls at this time. There are still about 60 days until election and, if I remember correctly, George W Bush had a substantial lead on Al Gore up to about 5 days before the election and Al Gore defeated him. Ignore the polls at this time!

My advice would be to continue talking about the issues that Bush refuses to talk about. I would talk more about the deficit. That is a demoralizing issue for many Repubs. He needs to continue talking about the lack of jobs and the number of jobs that have gone overseas. He needs to talk about Iraq. I know he is hesitant to talk about Iraq but that is Bush's strong suit. He must find a way to attack it. Perhaps he needs to re-define "terrorism" as opposed to "war on terrorists"? He needs to repeat that America chooses hope over fear.

And most important, he must continue to attack Bush as a one-trick pony - smear and fear. He has tried to smear everybody he has ever ran against. He even did it to John McCain. It's a gradual process, not one that is successful overnight. But the idea is to portray Bush as a negative and dirty campaigner, which indeed he is, and to chip away at that right up until the election. Most voters recognize him for what he is - they just have to be constantly reminded.

[fearnobush]

1. Poll numbers depend on the content and type of Media coverage

the RNC gets. If it's anything like ours, the bounce will be negligable. Or, Bu$h may have already gotten his bounce out of the Not so Swift Liars for Him. At any rate, the GOP usually gets a 4 to 7 pt bounce. Bounces usually abate two to four weeks after.

[2Design]

2. Only poll that really counts is Nov 2

That is the real thing, the rest of this is all practice and BS

[WindRavenX]

4. word up

:yourock:

[MikeG]

3. He won't be. He'll get no bounce. He's toast because of the economy.

[Ediacara]

5. The only poll that counts is the electoral college

He should aggressively focus on winning 350 electoral votes, and should fan out to places with cheap media that he could win, and would force Bush to waste money.

Like Montana and Alaska :-)

Anyway, he won't win every state he tries to, but if his goal is 350+, he'll win at least 270.

[Scorpious_Maximus]

6. This is not a big bounce electorate.

All of the data suggests 85-87% of people have made up their minds.


The data suggests that the "undecideds" tend to be women, with little to no post secondary (college) education.

What will help; is REGISTERING MORE voters. Go after those who don't vote, and explain to them the Kerry platform, and why it is better than Bush.

I personally have helped register MANY people here in Rhode Island.

(Yeah, I know, RI is small, and isn't a battleground state, but still, it ALL matters)

[sampsonblk]

7. If he's 6-10 behind, he's going to have to fight hard

I keep hearing that this isn't a "big bounce" year. We shall see. IF Bush is ahead by 6-10 pts, then Kerry is going to have to go big-time negative. Problem is, he's already disavowed half of his strongest anti-Bush points. Didn't even endorse Fahrenheit 9/11. So who knows?

But...the Kerry people will think of something. That's what they do for a living.

[kentuck]

8. Hey...keep the faith !

:)

[sampsonblk]

10. Don't worry 'bout me, I'm THERE

I am still mad about 2000. I won't lose faith.

[Cronus Protagonist]

9. The Coward from Crawford

Let's make sure we all know what his name is this season.

Swiftboat Veterans for Bush - TRUTH!!!

JFK - Drop Bush Not Bombs! - FUCK BUSH
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