Obama has 7-point lead on McCain in Michigan
But lead is shaky: 31% say they could change their minds
BY CHRIS CHRISTOFF • FREE PRESS LANSING BUREAU CHIEF • August 21, 2008
Independents, women and Wayne County voters helped boost Democrat Barack Obama to a 7-point lead over Republican John McCain in the presidential race in Michigan, according to a Detroit Free Press-Local 4 Michigan Poll conducted this week.
Obama's 46% to 39% statewide advantage is especially aided by a 39-point bulge among voters in Wayne County, including Detroit.
Elsewhere in metro Detroit and outstate, Sens. McCain and Obama are virtually tied, according to the poll of 600 likely voters. Twelve percent are undecided and 3% support third-party candidates.
Obama has significantly more support among voters younger than 35 and an 11-point lead among women statewide. Among men, the two candidates are virtually tied.
Several other recent polls had shown the race tightening in Michigan, which is among a half dozen or so battleground states expected to decide the presidential race. The state has 17 electoral votes.
Still, the numbers could move. Nearly one-third -- 31% -- of those polled said they could be persuaded to change their minds by Election Day Nov. 4.
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• Obama leads 80%-13% among Detroit voters.
• Obama leads 45%-41% among voters in suburban Oakland and Macomb counties.
• McCain leads among white voters statewide, 46%-38%.
• Obama gets 92% of African Americans.
• McCain holds a 13-point lead among Catholic voters; Protestants are evenly split, although evangelicals favor McCain by 2-1.
• Among non-Christians, Obama leads 66%-13%.
• Third-party candidates Bob Barr and Ralph Nader have a negligible impact on the race, if anything hurting McCain more than Obama.
• Among first-time voters, Obama has a 2-1 edge.
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