Gallup today. Obama 46 McCain 43

[jezebel]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109264/Gallup-Daily-Obama-46-McCain-43.aspx
PRINCETON, NJ -- Registered voters show a slight preference for Barack Obama (46%) over John McCain (43%) if the presidential election were held today, according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking results.
The three percentage point advantage for Obama matches the average since early June, when Obama clinched the number of delegates needed to head to the Democratic convention as the presumptive presidential nominee. Since then, Obama has never trailed McCain among registered voters, though McCain has tied Obama five times during this span, including Gallup Poll Daily tracking reports for last Friday and Saturday. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

The Democratic convention is now just three weeks away, while the Republican convention will begin four weeks from today. The conventions are one of the most anticipated events of the election calendar, in part because each candidate typically receives a "bounce" in support in the polls following their official nomination as the party's presidential candidate. -- Jeff Jones

[TwilightGardener]

1. Is that the tracking poll? Good.

The McDouchebag ads are backfiring.

[BluegrassDem]

4. Poor John...can't get over that 44% hump....

LOL

[TwilightGardener]

6. Being that his campaign is 100% about tearing down Obama, I'm not surprised.

He's not exactly giving anyone any reason to support or vote for HIM, he's just making sure they don't vote for that other guy.

[WeDidIt]

2. Happens every week

That's why these daily tracking polls are bogus. Only the state by state polls mean anything at all, and those don't mean a lot.

[lisa58]

3. Polls are useless until after the conventions when people are actually paying attention...

...that said:

Good - I'm glad Obama is up a bit today.

Does McCain ever get over 44%?

[Hope And Change]

7. Yes, if you include Rasmussen.

:P

[SuperTrouper]

5. Joe Scumborough is deeply disappointed and so is Crazy

Pat Buchanan

[lisa58]

8. I never actually mind if either of them are disappointed (about politics, of course)

[Speck Tater]

9. The Gallup Poll numbers have NOT CHANGED AT ALL!

With a margin of error of 3%, and "real" values of 43% and 46% you would expect to see numbers anywhere from 40 McCain vs 49 Obama (43 - 3 = 40 vs 46 + 3 = 49) to 46 McCain vs 43 Obama (43 + 3 vs 46 - 3). These variations are NOT DUE TO PEOPLE CHANGING THEIR MIND. They are do to random fluctuations in sampling. They are meaningless. Utterly and completely meaningless.

So in reality, every single Gallup poll result since July 12 has been within that margin of error. The polls have NOT CHANGED AT ALL, and the REAL numbers must be very close to 43 McCain vs 46 Obama.