Please relax over the polls, this should make you feel better

[gabeana]

"The 7/1 edition of this featured is here, when the tally was Obama 317, McCain 221. I give the states to whoever leads in the Pollster.com polling aggregates. I slacked on updates the last four weeks because nothing much seemed to change. But with the flurry of new polls the last week, we are starting to see things move again."

"For this edition, the tally is Obama 336, McCain 202."


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/8/1/12401/40833/135/560234

Why worry about polls when we know that during the primary they consistently underrepresented Obama's numbers?
As for KOS I'll take him over the MSM media any day. For the most part he was spot on in his analysis. He called it for Obama after Super Tuesday pretty much saying the race was over when everybody was calling it a tie.

[hiaasenrocks]

1. People need to be looking at state-by-state polling numbers and asking

what the significant "undecided" number means. Historically, the longer people remain "undecided likely voters" the more likely they are to go with the known candidate. There's some reason these numbers aren't changing in the so-called swing states. That's the problem Obama is going to have in November.

[woolldog]

2. I think a better way of looking at it is

what % of undecideds does Obama need to win. And how solid is his support among decideds.

e.g., if the latest Qunniapiac poll in PA is accurate, he would need less the 1/3 of undecideds there to break for him in order to win the state.

[RaleighNCDUer]

3. I worry about polls because while I know that Obama's numbers

are underrepresented, the general public does not; therefore, low polling numbers will bolster republican election fraud, because the 'surprising' squeaker with McCain beating Obama will be supported by the pre-election polling.