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Whoo hoo! Electoral-vote.com shows Obama pulling 325 Electoral votes now!

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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-18-08 10:18 AM
Original message
Whoo hoo! Electoral-vote.com shows Obama pulling 325 Electoral votes now!
http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Up from 320 which has been the projected number for several weeks now!

More good news from the site:

Barack Obama raised $52 million in June. It was his second best month ever, just slightly behind the $55 million he raised in February. But to fulfill his ambitious plans to compete in all 50 states, he has to raise at least this amount every month from now on. In contrast, John McCain doesn't have to raise any money for the general election. Because he chose public financing, he will get $84 million as soon as he is officially nominated. Thus Obama will have to spend a lot of time fundraising and McCain will not. On the other hand, if Obama can raise more than $84 million, he is free to spend it all. The average contribution to Obama in June was $68 and all of these small donors can be hit up again and again.

The Democrats are going to win big in the House this year. There are 35 districts in which the Republican who won a seat in 2006 is not running in 2008 vs. only 11 where the 2006 Democratic winner is not running. Combine this with the DCCC's 7-to-1 fundraising advantage and you begin to see the magnitude of the GOP's problem. In 2006, not a single Democratic incumbent was defeated in the general election. However, victory often sows the seeds of the winner's destruction. The Democrats now hold a number of seats in what is basically hostile territory and the Republicans will try mightily to reclaim them. CQ politics has a story on the Republicans' top five chances. All five of these are on the Hot House races page (along with 52 other competitive races). Here is the low-down on these five.
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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-18-08 10:42 AM
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1. Earlier discussion on this here:
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-18-08 01:45 PM
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2. PA listed as "barely DEM." That will change, imo. PA will be "solid DEM" by November.
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phrigndumass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-18-08 03:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. EV.com would be showing 352 for Obama if ...
... they bothered to include the last poll for Florida showing Obama leading by 3. EV.com is tricky this way.

http://warroomlogistics.com/docs/070908pr.pdf

325 is excellent, though! :hi:
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-18-08 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
4. If you're interested, I've created a Strength Metric to capture how strong a candidates EVs are.
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