Washington: Obama Leads By Nine in Evergreen State

[Hope And Change]

Election 2008: Washington Presidential Election

Washington: Obama Leads By Nine in Evergreen State

Friday, July 11, 2008

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Washington finds Obama ahead 48% to 39%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 51% to 43%.

While Obama has a decisive 52% to 35% lead over McCain among women in Washington, the two candidates are essentially tied among men. McCain is supported by 91% of Republicans and Obama earns the vote from 83% of Democrats. Neither candidate has a significant edge over among voters not affiliated with either political party.

Obama is viewed favorably by 59% of Washington voters and unfavorably by 40%. McCain’s numbers are 55% favorable, 45% unfavorable.

The latest numbers from the Evergreen State show a much closer race than last month, when Obama led 53% to 35%. However, they are similar to results from the prior survey in May.

Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especially when the results carry a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling-average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, McCain leads Obama 51% to 38%. Last month’s three-poll average showed McCain up by twelve. The June survey was conducted shortly after Obama clinched the nomination and may have reflected a temporary bounce in his support.


http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/washington/election_2008_washington_presidential_election