McCain is increasing the lead

[dbmk]

..by letting go of Virginia apparently:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[Fluffdaddy]

1. Way to early in the game for this to mean anything

Wake me in September

[wmbrew0206]

2. I like that website, but disagree with how they handle states within

the margin of error.

If a state shows the two candidates within the margin of error, it should be white and only go blue or red after one candidate has a lead outside the margin of error.

[dbmk]

4. Completely agree

The states only go white on an exact tie - which is hardly a productive way to attack these kind of data.

The map has been moving increasingly blue though - at a rather good pace the last weeks time, so I figured this event was worth a post.

[high density]

3. I still see June 2008 on my calendar.

Nobody is letting go of anything at this point.

[dbmk]

5. Ok, I should prob have posted it with some disclaimers :)

It was only meant to be a pointer to the fact that Obama is now polling over in Virginia. However minimal and inconsequential the lead might be.

538.com has been moving blue fast the last couple of days too though. And as far as I can tell, he is doing his best to make it the best possible projection and not just a snapshot.
(I don't understand half of it when he is explaining though. And I consider myself rather ok with numbers. :) ).

But in the end it is of course just educated guessing. :)

[whistle]

6. There is now way the GOP will nominate McLoser going into the convention

[goldcanyonaz]

7. Do not get complacent, Kerrys number were great at this time in 2004 too