GALLUP TRACKING shows BOUNCE. Obama 48 (+2), McSame 42 (-2). Obama's strongest showing to date.

[jefferson_dem]

June 9, 2008
Gallup Daily: Obama Takes Lead Over McCain, 48% to 42%

Has consistently led McCain since Clinton decided to suspend campaign

USA Election 2008 Gallup Daily Americas Northern America PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama is enjoying a modest bump in support following Hillary Clinton's exit from the presidential race. The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update finds Obama leading Republican John McCain, 48% to 42%, among registered voters nationwide.



Obama has consistently held a lead of five to seven percentage points each night since it was reported that Hillary Clinton intended to suspend her campaign. These represent Obama's strongest showing versus McCain to date in Gallup Poll Daily tracking of registered voters' presidential election preferences. For much of the time since Gallup began tracking general election preferences in mid-March, McCain and Obama have been in a statistical dead heat. (To view the complete trend since Jan. 3, 2008, click here.)

Today's data are based on June 6-8 interviewing. Gallup had been reporting a five-day rolling average for the general election to this point, but now that the major party candidates are known Gallup will move to reporting a three-day rolling average. Obama would still hold a statistically significant lead (matching his best to date) in the five-day rolling average based on June 4-8 interviewing given his recent stronger performance.

Since Obama clinched the nomination, Gallup has also asked registered voters for their Obama-McCain preference if Clinton were Obama's vice presidential running mate. At this point, Clinton would seem to give a slight three-point boost to Obama's margin over McCain, with the Obama-Clinton ticket leading McCain by an average of 51% to 42% over the past three days.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107764/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Takes-Lead-Over-McCain-48-42.aspx

[cbc5g]

1. Excellent news!

[papau]

18. The "Hillary endorsement" effect! - Glad to see most of her supporter hold outs are moving over

[NorthCarolina]

2. I find it hard to believe that McCain's polling even in the 40's

if the polling is an accurate representation of "America", just where the heck do all these idiots live?

[corkhead]

5. it must be that "legendary" speech he gave last week in New Orleans that is keeping him afloat

:sarcasm:

[TheWraith]

14. Most of those people either don't know McCain yet, or still remember the guy from the 90s.

A lot of people haven't yet been paying attention to the election. Now they're starting to.

[Carrieyazel]

3. 50-44 lead in Rasmussen and also a 6-point lead here. Not a big bounce.

McCain camp expected Obama to be up 10-12 points after the concession. I saw somewhere on MSNBC that McCain's people are pleased, "and that he's well within reach".

[Zenmaster]

6. You read wrong.

Or, you were misinformed. The McCain camp expects Obama's lead to go up as high as to 15% within a few weeks, not the couple days after the concession.

The nominee always gets about a 2 point bump right after concession. This is right in line with what is normal.

[jefferson_dem]

8. Uh huh. Thanks for the weak attempt at a buzz kill.

The spread between Obama and McSame is greater than it's ever been and growing but the McSame talking point - which you apparently buy into - is that they are pleased.

Y'right. Fail. Try again?

[mckeown1128]

9. Obama never had that...big moment of victory that nominees

normally get when they win. He got a "WHEN WILL HILLARY DROP OUT, WHAT IS HILLARY DOING, WHAT'S HILLARY'S NEXT MOVE...oh in other news Obama gets the nomination" type of headline.

[Teaser]

11. still spinning?

You do understand that McCain's people will overstate their expectations about O's lead, don't you? So they can slam him for "underachieving?"

It's how you play the expectations game. Should I be surprised that you're playing it too?

[jefferson_dem]

19. Amazing that we have to call out a DUer for ponying up stupidly unbelievable McSame talking points.

What the hell...

[TheWraith]

15. Thank you, we needed somebody on here to shill McCain's talking points. nt

[Cali_Democrat]

4. w00t

:bounce:

[Hissyspit]

7. It's a long way to November, folks.

But this is a good sign.

[TheWraith]

16. Senator Strangelove has no place to go but down, in my opinion.

He's on the wrong side of pretty much every major issue in the country, from Iraq, to the economy, to gas prices, and back.

[Hissyspit]

21. Yeah, seems absolutely insane that he could win, doesn't it?

But a lot of insane things have happened in the U.S. in this decade.

I hope with all hope that you are right.

[TheWraith]

22. There's a distinct maximum to our insanity.

And Bush already reached the overdraft limit.

[Orlandodem]

25. Most women don't know he's anti-choice.

The corporate media need to start exposing his flip flops, stances on the issues, courting of Clinton's supporters and the extreme right wing at the same time. He can't be all things to all people and all this needs to come out! When it does his support falls.

[TexasObserver]

10. it's CHANGE we can believe in!!

[Hope And Change]

12. Impressive.

[Eurobabe]

13. Just heard.

Do you think people are really tuning in yet? Pat Buchanan was blathering on about this today with Harold Ford.

I wonder how many people are completely tuned in yet?

[TheWraith]

17. Not a ton, but they're starting to.

A lot of people aren't going to start watching until the primaries are over, and they dragged pretty late. But I think this indicates that people are starting to look closely.

[phrigndumass]

20. Nice!

:kick: :thumbsup:

[krkaufman]

23. Sounds like more of a nudge... than a bounce or bump. n/t

[Patsy Stone]

24. Let the games begin!

:bounce:

[Life Long Dem]

26. I think this is more of a surge than a bounce.

Why would it spring back to when Clinton was in the race?