Rasmussen 6/9/08 -- Obama 48% mclame 40%

[Moloch]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracts 48% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 50% to 44%. Last Tuesday, just before Obama clinched the nomination, the candidates were tied at 46% (see recent daily results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Obama a 61.9 % chance of winning. Tracking polls are updated at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day.

Obama is supported by 81% of Democrats and now holds a very modest three-point edge over McCain among unaffiliated voters. Both those figures reflect a significant improvement over the past week. McCain attracts 83% of Republicans Still, 30% of all voters either have no preference at this time or could change their vote before Election Day. (see other demographic notes). Premium Members can review crosstabs for the last full-week of polling.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of voters like McCain’s proposal for a large number of town-hall debates. Voters are less enthusiastic about debates moderated by reporters. That may be due to the fact that voters do not see reporters as neutral observers and moderators. A recent survey found that 68% of voters believe most reporters try to help the candidate they want to win. Just 17% see most reporters as objective.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Independent-Voter]

1. That's great, but what are the state by state breakdowns? That's the important thing.

[Moloch]

4. Its on there, too.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently projects 157 Electoral Votes as “Safely Democratic,” 43 Electoral Votes as “Likely Democratic” and 60 Electoral Votes as “Leans Democratic.”

On the other side of the aisle, 168 Electoral Votes are projected as “Safely Republican,” 21 are projected as “Likely Republican” and 51 are projected as “Leans Republican".

Safely Democratic: California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), and Vermont (3).

Likely Democratic: Minnesota (10), New Jersey (15), Oregon (7), and Washington (11).

Leans Democratic: Iowa (7), Michigan (17), New Mexico (5), Pennsylvania (21) and Wisconsin (10).

Toss-Up: Colorado (9), Nevada (5), New Hampshire (4), and Ohio (20).

Leans Republican: Florida (27), Missouri (11), Virginia (13).

Likely Republican: Arkansas (6) and North Carolina (15).

Safely Republican: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), West Virginia (5) and Wyoming (3).

Rasmussen Markets data shows that the Democratic candidate is currently given a 63.9 % chance of winning the White House in November. Visit the Rasmussen Reports home page for the most current polling data on all topics.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update

[gristy]

2. Hmmm. No movement since yesterday. Since it's a 3-day moving average I had expected some

What with Clinton's speech on Saturday and all...

[npincus]

3. LOL... McLAME. A perfect fit.

[Carrieyazel]

5. So which is the more accurate one? 48-40% or 50-44%?

The second one also includes leaners.

[Youphemism]

6. Great that both candidates want to avoid media-sponsored debates...

They really deserve that after the crummy job they did in the primaries.