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HRC has no "18 million person army". The vast majority of her voters are Democrats first

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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:19 AM
Original message
HRC has no "18 million person army". The vast majority of her voters are Democrats first
Edited on Wed Jun-04-08 11:39 AM by DemsUnited
and not bargaining chips as long-time HRC supporter, Hilary Rosen, so eloquently puts it in her must read HuffPost piece at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/hilary-rosen/i-am-not-a-bargaining-chi_b_105133.html

HRC is flexing her muscles now because she knows that whatever leverage she has (or thinks she has) will quickly evaporate in the days ahead and disappear totally within weeks.

More Rahm Emmanuels will declare for Obama. More super Ds will switch out of her column. More Hilary Rosens will write unity essays. More Paul Begalas will pen respectful but definitive obituaries for their former candidate. And new polls will show Obama consolidating Hilary supporters and running strong against John McCain.

We will have almost 12 weeks of intense, expensive, and heavily media covered general election fighting between Obama and McCain. Top Democrats will publicly and strongly back Obama every step of the way. If HRC believes that after that kind of time and investment in Obama as the Democratic candidate, she is going to pull out a coup at the convention, then she really is narcissistic and delusional.

Hopefully she is not, and will soon do the right thing. If she doesn't, she is going to watch those who voted for her quickly distance themselves. And many of even her strongest supporters will not be that far behind.
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NJmaverick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:21 AM
Response to Original message
1. When has she ever let the truth stand in her way?
Still she has roughly 4 million fanatical supporters that are angry and irrational over the fact that Hillary will not be the first female president.
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:22 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Are we even sure it's 4 million? Maybe 400,000??
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NJmaverick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. Well beyond the rhetoric here at DU, I have heard at least 2 formerly
Edited on Wed Jun-04-08 12:23 PM by nomad1776
Democratic women say they would never vote Obama. If you figure 80% are good dems and 20% are fanatics, that works out to roughly 4 million.
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Willo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:34 AM
Response to Reply #8
16. If you figure 36 million votes between them
then 7.2 million tops. So 4-7 million possible fanatics. I doubt it but for the record let's work with those numbers.
Obama starts with 28.8 Dems
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hfojvt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
24. doesn't "never" include an Obama/Clinton ticket?
Isn't Hillary still kinda urging her supporters to feel this way?

Why aren't these people more prepared? Hillary has been a long shot since Wisconsin, and especially Indiana. Why do they act like defeat has been snatched from the jaws of victory and they are heartbroken? The defeat has been written on the wall for months.
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americanstranger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
14. CNN included the question in their SD/MT exit polling last night.
As best as i can remember, roughly 60% of Clinton voters in both states said they would vote for Obama. The numbers for those who wouldn't were (again, best I can remember) 26 or 27% in SD and 18 or 19% in MT.

And this was right at the height of the supposed 'outrage' that the Clinton hardcore is feeling.

Boil that down to half, and it looks like the numbers there are 9% in MT and 14% in SD.

I think Obama can whittle those numbers down pretty easily once he's recognized as the Dem nominee. And remember that when he starts campaigning, his numbers go up.

Bottom line - the 'poutrage' crowd is probably nowhere near as large as they may think they are.

- as

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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:23 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. Totally agree about a good number of fanatical supporters. And they called Obama people zealots!
Edited on Wed Jun-04-08 11:24 AM by DemsUnited
Some of the most hardened HRC supporters will be brought back into the fold given time and coverage of Obama v. McCain instead of Obama v. Clinton. Some will not and that's a shame but probably unavoidable.
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:23 AM
Response to Original message
3. I'll concede she has 1 million (tops) diehard sheep who will follow her
But no more than that, and if Obama caved into her demand for the VP slot he would LOSE far more independents than that in the GE.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:23 AM
Response to Original message
4. Well, certified megalomaniacs like HRC and Bill Clinton consider "the world" is ALL ABOUT THEM. N/T
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #4
22. It was so weird last night when she said she didn't want her supporters
Edited on Wed Jun-04-08 11:59 AM by sfexpat2000
to be invisible -- as if they'd disappear, somehow, when she conceded.

There's no better illustration of narcissism than holding the belief that other people don't exist without you. :wow:
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Independent-Voter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:24 AM
Response to Original message
6. If she had 18 million "supporters", why is she 20+ MILLION in debt?
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:28 AM
Response to Reply #6
10. Excellent point. The fact that those who voted for her ARE NOT financially supporting
her probably proves more than anything that a large number of them have moved on.
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bvar22 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #10
21. "Operation Chaos" Hillary voters aren't going to send her money.
nor will they be voting Democratic in November.
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Catherina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:26 AM
Response to Original message
7. I agree. It's tpast ime for her to gracefully exit because people won't be kind
if she doesn't now.
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RememberWellstone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:27 AM
Response to Original message
9. 18 milion did not vote Obama
That is a fact.
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NatBurner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:29 AM
Response to Reply #9
12. they didn't vote for grampy either
i'm just sayin'
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:30 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. No they did not, and I gladly give you that fact. But of the 18 million, many WILL vote for Obama
when it is his name and John McCains on the ballot.

Because they are Democrats first and foremost.

And that will likely be proven as fact on November 2.
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SoonerPride Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:57 AM
Response to Reply #9
20. No, 19 million voted for Obama.
Thanks fort playing.

Game over.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:28 AM
Response to Original message
11. HuffPost as campaign adviser - yep - I like it - shows judgment - should incl DU Obama fan posters
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:33 AM
Response to Reply #11
15. Hilary Rosen is a high profile, long time, and vocal supporter of HRC. She just happened to
post her piece on Huffington Post. I couldn't tell you why, any more than I can tell you why Paul Begala, another long time and strong HRC supporter also posts on Huffington Post.

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Willo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
17. Here's a bit from Kos on the popular vote
Hillary Clinton Did NOT Win the Popular Vote - Media Needs to Point This Out
by cscmm

Wed Jun 04, 2008 at 06:15:40 AM PDT
I would like to point out that Hillary Clinton did NOT win the popular vote during the Democratic race for a presidential nominee – according to RealPolitics.com.

Barack Obama without IA, NV, ME, WA caucuses and without Michigan, ended up with 33,916 more votes than Hillary Clinton.

Barack Obama with IA, NV, ME, WA caucuses and without Michigan, ended up with 144,138 more votes than Hillary Clinton.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/6/4/9654/78622/683/529184
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #17
23. I'm really annoyed the MSM has picked up this popular vote
majority thing as if it was gospel. Since 4 caucus states don't have a popular vote and none were cast in Michigan for Obama, I'm at a loss about how she figures she's ahead.
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Willo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 12:07 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. And playing up her lies for the sake of viewers
is partly responsible for enabling the angry delusions that remain.
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Mme. Defarge Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:48 AM
Response to Original message
18. Keep in mind that
quite a few of those so-called bargaining chips are Republicans who participated in Operation Chaos, and have absolutely no intention of voting for any Democratic candidate in the general election.
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 11:55 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. Yup, the more I think about it, the smaller the number of "chips" seems to be.
As you point out, a lot of those who voted for HRC would NEVER vote for her in the general.

As an upstream poster points out, if there really were 18 million diehard supporters, they'd have been putting their money where there vote was. But HRC is 20 million in debt.

And as HRC supporter Hilary Rosen writes, she's a democrat first and will support Obama now that he's the nominee.

So the actual number of voters that HRC can "bring to the table" is no where near 18 million, and will continue to shrink over time.
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Forkboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-04-08 12:10 PM
Response to Original message
26. I couldn't be less concerned about those few dead enders that will be left in November.
In their desperation to soothe their ego and be important they're actually accomplishing just the opposite and making themselves less than a footnote in this election. They'll be remembered as a small, sad group of selfish children who couldn't see the forest for the trees, and those that do remember them will do so in mocking terms.
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